Stock Analysis

Why Fastly, Inc. (NYSE:FSLY) Could Be Worth Watching

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NYSE:FSLY
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Fastly, Inc. (NYSE:FSLY), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Fastly’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Fastly

What is Fastly worth?

According to my valuation model, Fastly seems to be fairly priced at around 14.98% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Fastly today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $39.26, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Fastly’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Fastly generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:FSLY Earnings and Revenue Growth September 9th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 17% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Fastly. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in FSLY’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FSLY, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Fastly.

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What are the risks and opportunities for Fastly?

Fastly, Inc. operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer’s applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally.

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Rewards

  • Revenue is forecast to grow 15.06% per year

Risks

  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

  • Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

  • Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

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