To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Endava (NYSE:DAVA) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Endava, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.19 = UK£112m ÷ (UK£708m - UK£131m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, Endava has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 12% generated by the IT industry.
View our latest analysis for Endava
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Endava compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Endava here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Endava doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 19% from 38% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Endava has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 18% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Our Take On Endava's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Endava is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 132% return over the last three years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Endava you'll probably want to know about.
While Endava may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:DAVA
Endava
Provides technology services in North America, Europe, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.