Stock Analysis

What To Know Before Buying Alliance Data Systems Corporation (NYSE:ADS) For Its Dividend

A sizeable part of portfolio returns can be produced by dividend stocks due to their contribution to compounding returns in the long run. Alliance Data Systems Corporation (NYSE:ADS) has paid a dividend to shareholders in the last few years. It currently yields 1.5%. Does Alliance Data Systems tick all the boxes of a great dividend stock? Below, I'll take you through my analysis.

See our latest analysis for Alliance Data Systems

5 checks you should do on a dividend stock

When assessing a stock as a potential addition to my dividend Portfolio, I look at these five areas:

  • Is it the top 25% annual dividend yield payer?
  • Has it paid dividend every year without dramatically reducing payout in the past?
  • Has dividend per share risen in the past couple of years?
  • Is is able to pay the current rate of dividends from its earnings?
  • Will it have the ability to keep paying its dividends going forward?
NYSE:ADS Historical Dividend Yield, March 26th 2019
NYSE:ADS Historical Dividend Yield, March 26th 2019

How well does Alliance Data Systems fit our criteria?

Alliance Data Systems has a trailing twelve-month payout ratio of 13%, meaning the dividend is sufficiently covered by earnings. In the near future, analysts are predicting lower payout ratio of 9.0% which, assuming the share price stays the same, leads to a dividend yield of around 1.5%. Moreover, EPS is also forecasted to fall to $16.49 in the upcoming year. The lower EPS on top of a lower payout ratio will lead to a fall in dividend payment moving forward.

If you want to dive deeper into the sustainability of a certain payout ratio, you may wish to consider the cash flow of the business. Companies with strong cash flow can sustain a higher payout ratio, while companies with weaker cash flow generally cannot.

Reliablity is an important factor for dividend stocks, particularly for income investors who want a strong track record of payment and a positive outlook for future payout. The reality is that it is too early to consider Alliance Data Systems as a dividend investment. It has only been consistently paying dividends for 2 years, however, standard practice for reliable payers is to look for a 10-year minimum track record.

Compared to its peers, Alliance Data Systems has a yield of 1.5%, which is high for IT stocks but still below the market's top dividend payers.

Next Steps:

Taking all the above into account, Alliance Data Systems is a complicated pick for dividend investors given that there are a couple of positive things about it as well as negative. However, if you are not strictly just a dividend investor, the stock could still offer some interesting investment opportunities. Given that this is purely a dividend analysis, I recommend taking sufficient time to understand its core business and determine whether the company and its investment properties suit your overall goals. Below, I've compiled three key factors you should further examine:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ADS’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ADS’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is ADS worth today? Even if the stock is a cash cow, it's not worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ADS is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Dividend Rockstars: Are there better dividend payers with stronger fundamentals out there? Check out our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About NYSE:BFH

Bread Financial Holdings

Provides tech-forward payment and lending solutions to customers and consumer-based industries in North America.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25334.0% overvalued
38 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
45 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6412.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
ABNB logo
yiannisz on Airbnb ·

Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny

Fair Value:US$159.715.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADBE logo
yiannisz on Adobe ·

Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom

Fair Value:US$391.259.0% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
YI
TRI logo
yiannisz on Thomson Reuters ·

Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure

Fair Value:CA$201.979.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.4% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
976 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0747.5% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative