Stock Analysis

Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 45%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

NasdaqGS:ZM
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Shareholders of Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 17% to US$70.14 following its latest quarterly results. Revenues were US$1.2b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.70, an impressive 45% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zoom Video Communications after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Zoom Video Communications

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NasdaqGS:ZM Earnings and Revenue Growth August 26th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Zoom Video Communications' 32 analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$4.64b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to sink 12% to US$2.51 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.62b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.22 in 2025. Although the revenue estimates have not really changed, we can see there's been a solid gain to earnings per share expectations, suggesting that the analysts have become more bullish after the latest result.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$75.68, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Zoom Video Communications analyst has a price target of US$95.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$60.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Zoom Video Communications' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 29% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zoom Video Communications is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Zoom Video Communications following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$75.68, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Zoom Video Communications analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zoom Video Communications (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zoom Video Communications might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.