Tenable Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TENB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

Tenable Holdings Valuation

Is TENB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TENB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TENB ($40.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($68.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TENB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TENB?

Key metric: As TENB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TENB. This is calculated by dividing TENB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TENB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.6x
SalesUS$877.60m
Market CapUS$4.90b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TENB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TENB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.2x
QLYS Qualys
9.1x7.2%US$5.2b
VRNS Varonis Systems
10.3x11.6%US$5.6b
PATH UiPath
5.1x9.7%US$7.0b
FROG JFrog
8.3x15.5%US$3.3b
TENB Tenable Holdings
5.6x9.3%US$4.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TENB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TENB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$634.91m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$378.82m
0.5x1.1%US$351.48m
TENB 5.6xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TENB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TENB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TENB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.6x
Fair PS Ratio5.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TENB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TENB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$40.82
US$48.41
+18.6%
9.6%US$55.00US$40.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$38.78
US$48.41
+24.8%
9.6%US$55.00US$40.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$40.82
US$51.26
+25.6%
10.1%US$57.00US$40.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$41.28
US$51.20
+24.0%
9.9%US$57.00US$40.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$42.48
US$51.17
+20.5%
9.8%US$57.00US$40.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$42.89
US$57.43
+33.9%
9.5%US$65.00US$43.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$42.19
US$57.67
+36.7%
9.5%US$65.00US$43.00n/a18
May ’25US$45.03
US$58.28
+29.4%
9.2%US$65.00US$43.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$49.34
US$58.44
+18.5%
8.7%US$65.00US$43.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$48.10
US$58.44
+21.5%
8.7%US$65.00US$43.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$47.57
US$52.84
+11.1%
11.3%US$65.00US$37.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$46.06
US$50.24
+9.1%
10.6%US$57.00US$37.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$40.77
US$49.50
+21.4%
11.0%US$57.00US$37.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$41.97
US$54.87
+30.7%
7.4%US$63.00US$47.00US$38.7815
Oct ’24US$44.80
US$55.31
+23.5%
7.1%US$63.00US$48.00US$40.8216
Sep ’24US$45.30
US$54.80
+21.0%
7.0%US$60.00US$48.00US$41.2815
Aug ’24US$49.20
US$54.07
+9.9%
6.3%US$60.00US$48.00US$42.4814
Jul ’24US$43.55
US$47.85
+9.9%
8.0%US$55.00US$42.00US$42.8913
Jun ’24US$40.88
US$47.85
+17.0%
8.0%US$55.00US$42.00US$42.1913
May ’24US$36.34
US$47.85
+31.7%
8.0%US$55.00US$42.00US$45.0313
Apr ’24US$47.51
US$53.08
+11.7%
8.6%US$65.00US$47.00US$49.3413
Mar ’24US$44.14
US$52.86
+19.7%
8.5%US$65.00US$47.00US$48.1014
Feb ’24US$44.27
US$48.57
+9.7%
9.7%US$60.00US$42.00US$47.5714
Jan ’24US$38.15
US$48.36
+26.8%
12.3%US$60.00US$37.00US$46.0614
Dec ’23US$39.68
US$48.36
+21.9%
12.3%US$60.00US$37.00US$40.7714
Nov ’23US$39.89
US$48.36
+21.2%
12.3%US$60.00US$37.00US$41.9714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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