Appian Corporation

NasdaqGM:APPN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

Appian Valuation

Is APPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$46.90
Fair Value
28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: APPN ($33.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($46.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APPN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APPN?

Key metric: As APPN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for APPN. This is calculated by dividing APPN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is APPN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.1x
SalesUS$595.66m
Market CapUS$2.57b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does APPN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for APPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.4x
RPD Rapid7
2.9x7.2%US$2.5b
PRGS Progress Software
3.3x8.0%US$2.5b
SWI SolarWinds
3.3x3.3%US$2.6b
NABL N-able
4x10.1%US$1.8b
APPN Appian
4.1x11.0%US$2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: APPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does APPN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

72 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NBIS Nebius Group
0.9x-139.4%US$7.99b
VYX NCR Voyix
0.5x-22.3%US$1.89b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.8x15.2%US$769.70m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$418.27m
APPN 4.1xIndustry Avg. 5.8xNo. of Companies72PS048121620+
72 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: APPN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APPN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APPN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.1x
Fair PS Ratio5.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: APPN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.59
US$40.33
+20.1%
16.3%US$53.00US$32.00n/a6
Jan ’26US$32.98
US$41.00
+24.3%
17.1%US$53.00US$32.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$37.85
US$39.50
+4.4%
17.9%US$53.00US$32.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$36.63
US$33.50
-8.5%
10.2%US$40.00US$29.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$32.91
US$34.57
+5.0%
11.9%US$41.00US$29.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$32.44
US$34.57
+6.6%
11.9%US$41.00US$29.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$29.43
US$36.71
+24.8%
9.6%US$42.00US$32.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$30.76
US$39.38
+28.0%
13.7%US$48.00US$32.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$28.39
US$38.67
+36.2%
14.1%US$48.00US$32.00n/a9
May ’25US$36.73
US$44.80
+22.0%
12.8%US$52.00US$36.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$37.82
US$44.70
+18.2%
13.2%US$52.00US$35.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$35.76
US$45.22
+26.5%
13.2%US$55.00US$35.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$32.87
US$44.44
+35.2%
13.0%US$55.00US$35.00US$35.099
Jan ’25US$37.66
US$46.70
+24.0%
12.3%US$55.00US$37.00US$32.9810
Dec ’24US$37.69
US$47.27
+25.4%
13.9%US$58.00US$37.00US$37.8511
Nov ’24US$39.13
US$51.00
+30.3%
14.6%US$63.00US$35.00US$36.6311
Oct ’24US$45.61
US$52.55
+15.2%
11.9%US$63.00US$41.00US$32.9111
Sep ’24US$49.55
US$51.50
+3.9%
12.8%US$63.00US$41.00US$32.4412
Aug ’24US$51.42
US$48.83
-5.0%
15.9%US$63.00US$35.00US$29.4312
Jul ’24US$47.60
US$45.93
-3.5%
15.5%US$57.00US$30.00US$30.7612
Jun ’24US$44.45
US$44.92
+1.1%
14.6%US$55.00US$30.00US$28.3911
May ’24US$38.12
US$46.46
+21.9%
15.1%US$55.00US$30.00US$36.7311
Apr ’24US$44.38
US$44.93
+1.2%
20.8%US$55.00US$23.00US$37.8212
Mar ’24US$41.19
US$44.93
+9.1%
20.8%US$55.00US$23.00US$35.7612
Feb ’24US$43.44
US$41.68
-4.1%
21.4%US$55.00US$23.00US$32.8712
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
US$40.33
Fair Value
16.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 09:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Appian Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Raimo LenschowBarclays
Andrew DeGasperiBerenberg