Stock Analysis

We Think StoneCo (NASDAQ:STNE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NasdaqGS:STNE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that StoneCo Ltd. (NASDAQ:STNE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for StoneCo

What Is StoneCo's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that StoneCo had debt of R$5.75b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from R$6.83b over a year. However, it does have R$5.06b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$688.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:STNE Debt to Equity History December 15th 2022

How Strong Is StoneCo's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, StoneCo had liabilities of R$22.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$4.90b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$5.06b in cash and R$19.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$2.45b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, StoneCo has a market capitalization of R$15.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 0.19 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that StoneCo's EBIT has low interest coverage of 0.99 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, StoneCo's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 215% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine StoneCo's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, StoneCo's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

StoneCo's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that StoneCo can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that StoneCo is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.