Stock Analysis

SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

Check out our latest analysis for SPS Commerce

How Fast Is SPS Commerce Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. We can see that in the last three years SPS Commerce grew its EPS by 15% per year. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. SPS Commerce maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 18% to US$584m. That's progress.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:SPSC Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2024

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for SPS Commerce's future EPS 100% free.

Are SPS Commerce Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$7.4b company like SPS Commerce. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. With a whopping US$63m worth of shares as a group, insiders have plenty riding on the company's success. This should keep them focused on creating long term value for shareholders.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but shareholders may be wondering if remuneration policies are in their best interest. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to SPS Commerce, with market caps between US$4.0b and US$12b, is around US$8.4m.

The SPS Commerce CEO received US$7.1m in compensation for the year ending December 2023. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Does SPS Commerce Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

One important encouraging feature of SPS Commerce is that it is growing profits. Earnings growth might be the main attraction for SPS Commerce, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for SPS Commerce you should know about.

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

โ€ข Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
โ€ข Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
โ€ข Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:SPSC

SPS Commerce

Provides cloud-based supply chain management solutions in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ยท

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25268.7% overvalued
31 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ยท

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
38 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ยท

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6412.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

JE
JeremyBeeAi
PSEC logo
JeremyBeeAi on Prospect Capital ยท

Title: Market Sentiment Is Dead Wrong โ€” Here's Why PSEC Deserves a Second Look

Fair Value:US$3.8934.4% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DA
davidlsander
QS logo
davidlsander on QuantumScape ยท

An amazing opportunity to potentially get a 100 bagger

Fair Value:US$2555.9% undervalued
131 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
AMZN logo
yiannisz on Amazon.com ยท

Amazon: Why the Worldโ€™s Biggest Platform Still Runs on Invisible Economics

Fair Value:US$231.382.0% undervalued
6 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ยท

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.7% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ยท

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
123 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ยท

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.5% undervalued
975 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative