Splunk Inc.

NasdaqGS:SPLK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$26.4b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Splunk Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 4/6

Splunk has a total shareholder equity of $740.6M and total debt of $3.1B, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 419.5%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $6.7B and $5.9B respectively. Splunk's EBIT is $352.9M making its interest coverage ratio -5.8. It has cash and short-term investments of $2.0B.

Key information

419.51%

Debt to equity ratio

US$3.11b

Debt

Interest coverage ratio-5.8x
CashUS$2.00b
EquityUS$740.61m
Total liabilitiesUS$5.95b
Total assetsUS$6.69b

Recent financial health updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Splunk Trading At An Implied Yield Close To 9.95% While Risk Is Mitigated

Summary Cisco Systems, Inc. is acquiring cybersecurity company Splunk Inc. for $30 billion, representing a 30% premium. The deal is expected to close within the 100 to 150-day window, potentially resulting in annualized returns of 10.07% to 43.68%. The HSR clearance and the cybersecurity sector's performance indicate a high likelihood of deal completion, estimated to be above 95%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 05

Splunk files copyright lawsuit against Cribl

Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) said Wednesday it filed a lawsuit against Cribl in the U.S. District Court of Delaware, alleging patent and copyright infringement as well as unfair competition. SPLK alleged that Cribl unlawfully misappropriated its source code and confidential materials. SPLK claimed Cribl CEO Clint Sharp founded his company using code he took from SPLK when he was an employee of the firm without permission to do so.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 23

Splunk: Buy It And Forget About It

Summary Shares of Splunk have continued to slide after the company posted strong Q2 results. It is one of the few tech companies to actually increase its guidance for the full year, as opposed to many peers slicing outlooks. Now in a mature phase with its subscriptions transition, Splunk is hitting >30% y/y revenue growth while also making huge operating margin gains. The company trades at an attractive As the market retreats deeper and deeper into correction mode, it is an excellent time for brave investors to make long-term plays in fantastic companies that have fallen out of fashion. The mid-cap tech space, in particular, has plenty of fundamental powerhouses that are trading at fire-sale levels, and investors with cash to deploy can benefit from truly unmissable entry points. Splunk (SPLK) is one company that bears special mention. This machine-data platform is one of the most prominent names in big data analytics, and its technology is a mission-critical tool that helps businesses derive insights from data already generated from their internal systems. Year to date, shares of Splunk are down ~30% - more modest than most tech peers, but still not in line with the vast fundamental wins the company has scored recently, most notably in largely completing its transition to a subscription-based business model. Data by YCharts I remain bullish on Splunk. This is a fantastic company that now has a powerful ARR base, a best-in-class technology that is widely regarded in the industry, and on track to becoming immensely profitable thanks to its rich gross margin profile and opportunities for operating leverage. Here's a full rundown on what I think to be the key bullish drivers for Splunk: The use cases for Splunk are infinite - In its early days, Splunk's machine data-mining capabilities were often used for security purposes to flag and respond to anomalies within corporate systems. But as Splunk has evolved, the company's machine data capabilities are applicable across virtually any industry and across many functions. Usage-based pricing - Some of the most successful software stocks are usage-based, meaning that revenue climbs proportionally to a customer's usage of the product. Splunk's platform is charged on a data volumes/computing power basis. As data volumes continue to explode and companies push the boundaries of how they integrate data into operations and decision-making, Splunk has a tremendous opportunity to derive growth from within its install base. Splunk isn't without competitors, but the company's focus on machine data is unique. It's also the largest company in the space. The company's closest large/public peers are the monitoring companies like Datadog (DDOG) and New Relic (NEWR), which primarily focus on monitoring the performance and uptime of applications and infrastructure. Splunk focuses on visualizing and analyzing machine data (information passively generated by computers, phones, and other endpoints within networks). We note as well that Splunk's ~$3.3 billion annual revenue scale makes it twice as large as its next-closest competitor, Datadog. Industry-wide recognition - More to the point above, it's fine to have competition when Splunk also is widely considered the best-in-breed vendor for machine data analytics. Gartner, the software industry's leading analyst and reviewer, has bestowed the "Leader" designation to Splunk in the security information and event management space, and also named it as the vendor with the highest ability to execute. These commendations don't come lightly to IT buyers when making a purchase decision. Significant international expansion opportunity - Splunk has become a global brand name, and it's time for Splunk to chase more opportunities overseas. Currently, only about ~35% of its revenue base comes from international markets (and an even smaller ~20% slice of the cloud business is overseas). I see significant opportunity for Splunk to expand its presence outside of the U.S. On a more near-term basis, note that Splunk is one of the only tech companies in the Q2 earnings season to increase its full-year outlook. This stands in stark contrast to many other tech stocks that have cut their full-year guidance, citing a number of woes ranging from slowing deal cycles to FX pressures. It is important to note that one of the drivers here is that the weaker macro environment caused many of Splunk's customers to delay their cloud migrations, resulting in higher upfront license revenue. Still, Splunk's valuation fall in light of these strong results is baffling (it's only in sympathy with the rest of the market, and doesn't make sense on a standalone basis). At current share prices near $80, Splunk trades at a $13.00 billion market cap. After we net off the $1.79 billion of cash and $3.87 billion of debt on Splunk's most recent balance sheet, the company's resulting enterprise value is $15.08 billion. The company's latest revenue outlook is $3.35-$3.40 billion, representing 25-27% y/y growth - up two points on both the high and low end from its prior range. It's also worth noting that the company expects pro forma operating margins now at 8%, six points higher than 2% in the year-ago quarter. ARR expectations are down, driven both by FX translation impacts as well as the aforementioned delays in cloud migration. Splunk guidance update (Splunk Q2 earnings deck) Against Splunk's latest revenue outlook, the company trades at 4.5x EV/FY23 revenue. If we look ahead to FY24 (the year for Splunk ending in January 2024), where Wall Street consensus is calling for 19% y/y revenue growth to $4.05 billion (data from Yahoo Finance), Splunk's multiple compresses down further to just 3.7x EV/FY24 revenue. The bottom line here: Splunk is a known quantity in the software industry and is trading at an incredible opportune multiple. Don't miss the chance to get in on this stock at what I consider to be a very low-risk price. Q2 download Let's now go through Splunk's latest Q2 results in greater detail. The Q2 earnings summary is shown below: Splunk Q2 results (Splunk Q2 earnings deck) Splunk's revenue grew 32% y/y to $798.8 million, beating Wall Street's expectations of $737.0 million (+22% y/y) by a wide mile. The main driver here, as previously noted, is higher than expected license revenues, due to customers delaying their cloud transitions. Still, we don't think there's any cause for concern for the long-term viability of Splunk's recurring revenue buildup. Splunk still grew total ARR in the quarter to $3.33 billion, up 27% y/y, and adding $121 million of net-new ARR in the quarter. And as seen in the chart below, the company now has 723 customers who generate a total ARR in excess of $1 million, adding 33 such customers in the quarter (more than 15 in Q1).

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: SPLK's short term assets ($4.2B) exceed its short term liabilities ($2.6B).

Long Term Liabilities: SPLK's short term assets ($4.2B) exceed its long term liabilities ($3.4B).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: SPLK's net debt to equity ratio (149%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: SPLK's debt to equity ratio has increased from 107.5% to 419.5% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: SPLK's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (32.5%).

Interest Coverage: SPLK earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern.

Balance Sheet

Discover healthy companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/03/18 20:50
End of Day Share Price 2024/03/15 00:00
Earnings2024/01/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Splunk Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 28 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adam ShepherdArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company
Raimo LenschowBarclays