Soluna Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SLNH) Stock's 34% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
Soluna Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SLNH) shares have retraced a considerable 34% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Soluna Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Soluna Holdings
How Has Soluna Holdings Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Soluna Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Soluna Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Soluna Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Soluna Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 28%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 45% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 22% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Soluna Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Soluna Holdings' P/S?
Following Soluna Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Soluna Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Soluna Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Soluna Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.