Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Watching Otonomo Technologies' (NASDAQ:OTMO) Cash Burn Situation

NasdaqCM:OTMO
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Otonomo Technologies (NASDAQ:OTMO) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Otonomo Technologies

Does Otonomo Technologies Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at June 2023, Otonomo Technologies had cash of US$119m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was US$53m. Therefore, from June 2023 it had 2.2 years of cash runway. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

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NasdaqCM:OTMO Debt to Equity History October 19th 2023

How Well Is Otonomo Technologies Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Otonomo Technologies is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 4.9% in the last year. Having said that, it's revenue is up a very solid 80% in the last year, so there's plenty of reason to believe in the growth story. Of course, with spend going up shareholders will want to see fast growth continue. It seems to be growing nicely. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Otonomo Technologies is building its business over time.

How Easily Can Otonomo Technologies Raise Cash?

While Otonomo Technologies seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Otonomo Technologies' cash burn of US$53m is about the same as its market capitalisation of US$52m. That suggests the company may have some funding difficulties, and we'd be very wary of the stock.

How Risky Is Otonomo Technologies' Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its cash burn relative to its market cap makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Otonomo Technologies' revenue growth was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for Otonomo Technologies (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course Otonomo Technologies may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.