Stock Analysis

OneSpan Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OSPN) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

NasdaqCM:OSPN
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ:OSPN) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.5x and even P/S above 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for OneSpan

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OSPN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023
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What Does OneSpan's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, OneSpan has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on OneSpan will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, OneSpan would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.3%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 1.9% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.0% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that OneSpan's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On OneSpan's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that OneSpan maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for OneSpan with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:OSPN

OneSpan

Designs, develops, and markets digital solutions for security, authentication, identity, electronic signature, and digital workflow products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.

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