Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of OneSpan Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OSPN) Tunnel

NasdaqCM:OSPN
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ:OSPN) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.6x and even P/S above 12x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for OneSpan

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OSPN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 27th 2024

What Does OneSpan's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

OneSpan could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on OneSpan will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

OneSpan's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 15% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.7% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why OneSpan's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does OneSpan's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As expected, our analysis of OneSpan's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for OneSpan with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.