Stock Analysis

Opera Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Published
NasdaqGS:OPRA

Shareholders might have noticed that Opera Limited (NASDAQ:OPRA) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.7% to US$18.66 in the past week. Results overall were not great, with earnings of US$0.90 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit US$483m and were slightly better than forecasts. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Opera

NasdaqGS:OPRA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 2nd 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Opera's seven analysts is for revenues of US$562.1m in 2025. This reflects a notable 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 16% to US$1.06. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$547.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.03 in 2025. While next year's revenue estimates increased, there was also a pretty serious reduction to EPS expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view of these results.

The consensus price target fell 29% to US$29.43, suggesting that the analysts are primarily focused on earnings as the driver of value for this business. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Opera, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$46.00 and the most bearish at US$23.00 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Opera'shistorical trends, as the 16% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 15% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 12% annually. So although Opera is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Opera. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Opera going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Opera that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.