Has Netskope’s 21.3% Weekly Slide Created a Genuine Opportunity for Investors?

Simply Wall St
  • If you are wondering whether Netskope at around $18.50 is a bargain in the crowded cybersecurity space, you are not alone. Investors are trying to figure out if the recent slide has opened up a real value opportunity or just a value trap.
  • The stock is down 21.3% over the last week and 1.4% over the last month, leaving it 17.7% lower year to date. This suggests the market has quickly repriced the risk around the story.
  • Recently, sentiment has been shaped by a mix of cautious tech flows and ongoing headlines around cloud security adoption and competitive intensity in secure access service edge platforms. Investors are weighing these themes against Netskope's positioning in data protection and zero trust, which helps explain the sharp short term moves.
  • Right now, Netskope scores just 1 out of 6 on our valuation checks. This tells us that only one of our standard undervaluation signals is flashing green, but that is only part of the picture. In the sections ahead we will walk through different valuation approaches and then finish with a more holistic way to think about what the stock is really worth.

Netskope scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

Approach 1: Netskope Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a company is worth today by forecasting its future cash flows and then discounting those back into current dollars. For Netskope, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections.

Netskope currently generates about $26.07 million in free cash flow. Analyst and model projections have this rising to roughly $241.52 million in 10 years, with intermediate steps such as $6.87 million in 2026 and $80.42 million by 2028, all in $. Simply Wall St extends analyst forecasts beyond the usual 5 year window by extrapolating growth rates to build a full 10 year path.

When those projected cash flows are discounted back, the estimated intrinsic value for Netskope comes out at roughly $6.99 per share. Compared with the recent share price around $18.50, the DCF implies the stock is about 164.6% overvalued. This indicates the market is pricing in much stronger long term cash generation than is reflected in this model.

Result: OVERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Netskope may be overvalued by 164.6%. Discover 907 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.

NTSK Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Netskope.

Approach 2: Netskope Price vs Sales

For companies like Netskope that are still prioritizing growth over profits, the price to sales ratio is often the cleanest way to gauge valuation because it focuses on how much investors are paying for each dollar of current revenue rather than volatile or negative earnings.

In general, faster growth and lower risk justify a higher sales multiple, while slower growth, thinner margins, or higher uncertainty call for a lower, more conservative range. Netskope currently trades on a price to sales multiple of roughly 11.00x, which is well above the broader Software industry average of about 4.87x and also above the peer group average near 8.50x. This signals that the market is already pricing in strong execution and durable growth.

Simply Wall St also uses a proprietary Fair Ratio framework, which estimates what Netskope’s price to sales multiple should be after adjusting for its specific growth outlook, risk profile, margins, size, and industry context. This is more informative than a simple peer or industry comparison because it tailors the benchmark to the company’s fundamentals instead of assuming that all software names deserve similar multiples. On this basis, Netskope’s current 11.00x sales looks richer than its Fair Ratio, pointing to a stock that is trading ahead of what the fundamentals alone would support.

Result: OVERVALUED

NasdaqGS:NTSK PS Ratio as at Dec 2025

PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1456 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Netskope Narrative

Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. These are essentially your own story about a company, translated into the numbers behind what you think its fair value, future revenue, earnings, and margins should be.

A Narrative connects three things: the story you believe about a business, the financial forecast that follows from that story, and the fair value that results from those forecasts. This allows you to clearly see whether the current share price fits your expectations or not.

On Simply Wall St, Narratives are an easy, guided tool inside the Community page, used by millions of investors to build and share these story-driven valuations without needing complex spreadsheets or models.

Because each Narrative continuously compares its Fair Value to the live market price and then automatically updates when new news, earnings, or guidance is released, it becomes a practical way to organize your thinking about when to buy, hold, or sell. For example, one Netskope Narrative might assume rapid enterprise adoption and assign a much higher fair value than another, more cautious Narrative that expects slower growth and margin pressure.

Do you think there's more to the story for Netskope? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NasdaqGS:NTSK 1-Year Stock Price Chart

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Netskope might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com