Stock Analysis

What nCino (NCNO)'s Fresh Analyst Upgrades Could Mean for Its 2025 Growth Ambitions

  • In recent days, nCino received analyst upgrades from Stephens and Raymond James, who highlighted growth drivers, potential for a strong third-quarter report, and improved retention and platform pricing as positive catalysts for the banking software provider.
  • These endorsements suggest increased market confidence in nCino's execution toward fiscal 2025 targets, given renewed large enterprise activity and international momentum cited by analysts.
  • To understand how these analyst upgrades could influence nCino's trajectory, we'll explore their impact on the company's investment narrative and future outlook.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

Advertisement

nCino Investment Narrative Recap

To be an nCino shareholder, you need to believe in the company’s ability to drive banking digital transformation by growing its SaaS platform, expanding internationally, and differentiating through AI-driven solutions. The recent analyst upgrades add visibility to growth momentum and improving customer retention, which could support near-term valuation and execution narratives. However, these endorsements don’t eliminate risks such as product concentration or intensifying competition, which remain critical factors to watch, especially if growth in international markets fails to materialize as quickly as hoped.

The recent partnership with Baghdadi Capital Group, marking nCino’s entry into the Spanish market, is particularly relevant in the context of analyst optimism for stronger international engagement. This announcement gives tangible evidence of nCino’s push to diversify revenue beyond North America, and it directly supports the positive catalysts, like renewed activity from large enterprise and non-US customers, highlighted by the analyst upgrades.

Yet, despite these positives, investors should be aware of the potential challenges if customer demand for nCino’s AI and platform extensions...

Read the full narrative on nCino (it's free!)

nCino's narrative projects $728.9 million in revenue and $56.0 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 8.3% yearly revenue growth and an $89.6 million increase in earnings from -$33.6 million currently.

Uncover how nCino's forecasts yield a $35.54 fair value, a 38% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NCNO Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
NCNO Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from four individual members of the Simply Wall St Community range from US$17.51 to US$35.61 per share. While many see upside, continued product concentration and adoption rates could be pivotal for nCino’s future, so consider these varied viewpoints before deciding your next step.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on nCino - why the stock might be worth as much as 38% more than the current price!

Build Your Own nCino Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Searching For A Fresh Perspective?

Every day counts. These free picks are already gaining attention. See them before the crowd does:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com