Is Marin Software (NASDAQ:MRIN) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Marin Software Incorporated (NASDAQ:MRIN) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Marin Software

What Is Marin Software's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Marin Software had debt of US$3.32m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$7.98m in cash, so it actually has US$4.66m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:MRIN Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is Marin Software's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Marin Software had liabilities of US$17.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.65m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$7.98m in cash and US$5.43m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.41m.

Marin Software has a market capitalization of US$25.6m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Marin Software boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Marin Software will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Marin Software made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$34m, which is a fall of 36%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

So How Risky Is Marin Software?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year Marin Software had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$8.2m and booked a US$12m accounting loss. But at least it has US$4.66m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Marin Software (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

If you’re looking to trade Marin Software, open an account with the lowest-cost* platform trusted by professionals, Interactive Brokers. Their clients from over 200 countries and territories trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About OTCPK:MRIN.Q

Marin Software

Designs and develops enterprise marketing software for advertisers and agencies in United States, United Kingdom, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with slight risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

JO
Jolt_Communications
MYSE logo
Jolt_Communications on Myseum ·

The Future of Social Sharing Is Private and People Are Ready

Fair Value:US$7.9576.2% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TO
Tokyo
ASML logo
Tokyo on ASML Holding ·

EU#3 - From Philips Management Buyout to Europe’s Biggest Company

Fair Value:€1.31k7.1% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
YI
BKNG logo
yiannisz on Booking Holdings ·

Booking Holdings: Why Ground-Level Travel Trends Still Favor the Platform Giants

Fair Value:US$5.47k6.4% undervalued
6 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
4 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
SHEL logo
composite32 on Shell ·

A fully integrated LNG business seems to be ignored by the market.

Fair Value:UK£36.122.6% undervalued
35 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

UN
unknown
MRK logo
unknown on Merck ·

The Oncology Anchor: Why Merck’s 46% Discount Defies the Keytruda Cliff

Fair Value:US$201.5646.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
UN
unknown
PLTR logo
unknown on Palantir Technologies ·

The Architect of Sovereignty: Palantir’s Premium Paradox at $149

Fair Value:US$115.6231.3% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DM
DMXS
BYLOT logo
DMXS on Bally's Intralot ·

BYLOT: Re-Rating Potential Tempered by UK Tax Drag and Speculative-Grade Debt Dynamics – Neutral (Hold)

Fair Value:€12.6% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OO
NEO logo
OOO97 on Neo Performance Materials ·

Undervalued Key Player in Magnets/Rare Earth

Fair Value:CA$25.3322.0% undervalued
70 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0223.9% undervalued
1044 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
GOOGL logo
WealthAP on Alphabet ·

The "Easy Money" Is Gone: Why Alphabet Is Now a "Show Me" Story

Fair Value:US$386.4312.5% undervalued
50 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

JA
jayhcee
MPAA logo
jayhcee on Motorcar Parts of America ·

MPAA often has inventory and core-related timing issues. While this quarter’s problems may ease, similar issues have recurred historically and can persist for several quarters. It's not a one-off, it's a structural part of their business. Core returns are simply estimates: How many customers will actually return the original part; how quickly they'll do so; how many are useable; what they're worth, etc. MPAA predicts X sales in a quarter and Y core returns and its reserves, inventory values, etc. are based on that. If they expect a 90% core return rate and only 80% come back it doesn't change cash but they have to write down inventory and increase cost of goods sold which impacts EPS. They've also cited inventory buildup at key customers multiple times in the past. The assumption the latest backlog will all shift into future quarters this year with no impact on pricing, etc. seems more like wishful thinking. Retailer X was slated to buy $10m in parts this quarter but finds they have a lot more inventory on hand than they anticipated so they pushed the order. Realistically there are likely to be SKU cuts, reduction in safety stock on others, etc. Assuming that all $10m will come in this year plus the regular replenishment seems pretty unrealistic. MPAA also has a shaky track record when it comes to new lines and the supposed impact on business. If you look at the EV testing solutions hype back around 2020 that was supposed to diversify them beyond traditional reman and be a higher margin business that would grow with EV adoption. But it has never turned into a material contributor. The debt reduction and stock buy backs are meaningful but IMHO this narrative takes a very optimistic view of things.

0
|
0
Advertisement