Stock Analysis

Could MARA Holdings' (MARA) New Gas Supply Deal Hint at a Shift Beyond Crypto Mining?

  • Earlier this month, MPLX LP and MARA Holdings, Inc. announced the signing of a letter of intent for MPLX to supply natural gas to MARA's planned gas-fired power generation facilities and data center campuses in West Texas, with initial capacity slated at 400 MW and potential scaling to 1.5 GW.
  • This partnership reflects MARA's push to evolve beyond crypto-mining by focusing on vertically integrated digital infrastructure and energy-efficient data center operations.
  • We'll explore how the new MPLX partnership, centered on long-term energy access, reshapes MARA Holdings' investment outlook and diversification plans.

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MARA Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own MARA Holdings, I believe you have to trust in their transformation from a pure bitcoin miner to an energy-efficient digital infrastructure player. The recent MPLX partnership underpins this vision, helping address energy access and vertical integration, but near-term business drivers are still mainly linked to bitcoin price volatility and execution risks in shifting to new revenue streams; the announcement itself may not change the most critical short-term catalysts or the ongoing exposure to crypto cycles in a material way.

The most relevant recent announcement is MARA Holdings’ Q3 earnings, which showed strong sales growth and a positive earnings turnaround compared to the previous year. While this financial surge highlights operational progress, its sustainability remains tied to bitcoin economics and the company's pace in expanding non-mining infrastructure, both still closely tied to those core market catalysts.

But while the ongoing transition is promising, investors should also watch for the potential impact of elevated capital expenditures if bitcoin prices...

Read the full narrative on MARA Holdings (it's free!)

MARA Holdings' outlook anticipates $1.1 billion in revenue and $31.5 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario is based on a projected 12.4% annual revenue growth rate, but reflects a sharp drop in earnings, down $647.3 million from the current $678.8 million.

Uncover how MARA Holdings' forecasts yield a $24.14 fair value, a 101% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MARA Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
MARA Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Retail investors in the Simply Wall St Community value MARA Holdings between US$18 and US$37.17 across nine independent fair value models. Despite this range, many remain concerned that ongoing heavy capital investments could pressure net margins if mining economics deteriorate, which could shape future performance outcomes for shareholders.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on MARA Holdings - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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