Intrusion Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Intrusion has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 11.4%, while the Software industry saw earnings growing at 21.9% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 2.7% per year.
Key information
11.43%
Earnings growth rate
36.78%
EPS growth rate
| Software Industry Growth | 17.33% |
| Revenue growth rate | -2.69% |
| Return on equity | -124.49% |
| Net Margin | -127.68% |
| Next Earnings Update | 14 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 25
INTZ: Future Execution On New Secured Note Funding Will Drive Upside
Analysts have reduced Intrusion's price target by $1, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in their models. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on Intrusion after trimming their price target by $1, indicating less confidence that earlier valuation assumptions can be fully supported.
Narrative Update • Apr 10
INTZ: Higher Risk Assumptions Will Still Support Longer Term Earnings Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Intrusion by $1.50 to $5.75. This reflects updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following recent research commentary.
Narrative Update • Mar 23
INTZ: Stable Fair Value And Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their $12.50 price target for Intrusion steady, citing only minor changes to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, rather than any significant change in the overall outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: model fair value per share is unchanged at $12.50.Narrative Update • Mar 09
INTZ: Maintained Fair Value Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their $12.50 price target on Intrusion, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that largely offset one another in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Maintained at $12.50, with no change in the central valuation estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 23
INTZ: Refined Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their $7.25 price target on Intrusion, with only modest tweaks to assumptions such as discount rate, profit margin and forward P/E that help refine rather than reset their view on the stock. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Maintained at $7.25, indicating no change in the analyst fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 07
INTZ: Stable Profit Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their price target on Intrusion at US$7.25, with only slight adjustments to discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions guiding this unchanged view. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at US$7.25 per share, reflecting no change in the modelled target price.Narrative Update • Jan 24
INTZ: Stable Assumptions And Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts kept their price target for Intrusion broadly steady at about US$7.25, pointing to only very small tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for this unchanged view. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at about US$7.25, with no change between the previous and updated assessment.Narrative Update • Jan 10
INTZ: Higher Projected P/E Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential
Analysts now see fair value for Intrusion at US$12.50, up from US$11.00, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated from US$11.00 to US$12.50, a modest upward move in the intrinsic value estimate.Narrative Update • Dec 22
INTZ: Future Margin Expansion Will Drive Attractive Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly reaffirmed their outlook on Intrusion, keeping the price target effectively unchanged at approximately $7.25 per share, as incremental improvements in projected profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple balance out a marginal uptick in the assumed discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Unchanged at approximately $7.25 per share, indicating a stable intrinsic value assessment.Narrative Update • Dec 08
INTZ: Future Earnings Multiple Compression Will Drive Attractive Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on Intrusion from 12 dollars to 7.25 dollars, citing expectations for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a more conservative future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced significantly from 12 dollars to 7.25 dollars per share, reflecting lower growth and profitability assumptions.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Will Intrusion (NASDAQ:INTZ) Spend Its Cash Wisely?
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...Narrative Update • Nov 14
INTZ: Higher Fair Value Estimate Signals Strong Upside Potential Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for Intrusion from $6.50 to $12.00 per share, citing updated financial projections and a reassessment of long-term growth potential. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has increased notably from $6.50 to $12.00 per share.Narrative Update • Aug 20
Migration To AWS And Azure Will Drive Cybersecurity Readiness
Analysts raised Intrusion’s price target from $6.75 to $11.00, citing recent trading strength but maintain a neutral outlook until the company demonstrates sustained revenue growth, particularly in the second half of 2025. Analyst Commentary Recent trading levels prompted a price target increase.
New Narrative • Apr 16
Debt Elimination And New Cyber Solutions Will Expand Market Reach
Improved financial stability due to debt elimination and cash reserves can increase investor confidence and support revenue growth initiatives.Seeking Alpha • Sep 22
Intrusion Nears Pivot Point
Summary INTZ continues to methodically prepare for the launch of its new Cloud and Endpoint products. These products, which significantly increase the company’s TAM, should be ready by EOQ3. A strategic partnership with a major company is expected to be announced within the next month or two, which will likely validate INTZ’s Shield product. INTZ’s Shield product could be included on the important GSA Schedule, as well as on the list of the Department of Homeland Security’s approved cybersecurity products by EOY. These developments indicate the company is at a pivot point, with 2023 set to be the year that INTZ starts to reach its full potential. My followers may recall I recently re-initiated coverage on Intrusion (INTZ), a cybersecurity threat detection company, with an article in early June. For those who do not wish to read the entire article, let me sum up my thesis: a professional with the pedigree of new CEO Tony Scott (formerly CTO at [[GM]]; CIO at [[DIS]], [[MSFT]], [[VMW]], and the Federal Government under Obama Administration) does not come to run a small, beleaguered company unless he truly believes in the company’s technology. In other words, an investment in INTZ is essentially an investment in Tony Scott. And as someone following small-cap companies for some time now, let me tell you: we rarely get to invest in CEOs like Tony Scott in the small-cap space. Granted, my investment thesis is a little more nuanced than how I summarized it above, but my basic point remains. During Tony Scott’s short tenure, the company has made several key changes. First, the messaging surrounding their Shield product changed. This messaging makes sense. Instead of advertising Shield as the “be all, end all,” INTZ now properly markets the product as one among several that companies can use to enhance their protection against destructive cyber attacks. Second, the company quickly changed its go-to-market strategy. Instead of hiring dozens of salespeople to sell a product that, frankly, was not yet fully ready for market, Scott invested in improving Shield and is focusing on partnering with major players in the technology space. In this article, I will update on INTZ’s progress over the past three months. All of these changes and updates indicate to me that INTZ is soon to reach a pivot point. Specifically, the company is nearing a point where Shield’s family of products is ready for primetime. This should result in the company materially increasing its revenue and EPS in 2023 and beyond. Because of this, I believe investors in the stock now will be handsomely rewarded. Shield Cloud & Endpoint Ready for Primetime INTZ currently offers one form of Shield. This initial version is an on-premise device. The problem with an on-prem device is that it requires hardware installation. While this might not be a major issue for a big-name player in cybersecurity, it does handicap Shield salespeople. In order to currently sell Shield, the company must convince prospective customers to install hardware as part their network; hardware from a company they had not heard of previously. That is a heavy lift. Fortunately, INTZ is about to remedy this scenario with the release of Shield Cloud and Shield Endpoint. These products will allow prospective companies to use Shield on a more limited basis, ensuring the product works and does no harm. If the customer is satisfied with Shield at that point, it greatly increases the chance of the customer installing Shield on-premise. Regardless, even with the Cloud and Endpoint solutions, INTZ profits and protects a significant portion of a customer’s infrastructure. Intrusion Website According to the most recent guidance on the 2Q22 earnings call, the Cloud and Endpoint solutions should be ready for general availability by EOQ3--within the next few days. When I spoke to people familiar with the company, they indicated INTZ remains on track to meet this target, so I expect to see an announcement and/or an update to the company’s website soon. The availability of these solutions greatly increases INTZ’s TAM and sales opportunities. Strategic Partnership Opportunities Nearing In addition to, and likely dependent upon, the Cloud and Endpoint releases, INTZ continued to guide on the 2Q22 earnings call for a major strategic partnership to be finalized by EOQ3. My own research indicates the company continues to progress in reaching the finish line on a first strategic partnership for its Shield product. However, it may be in October or early November before that deal is fully finalized and announced. As is so often the case, massive companies move at a slower pace than smaller companies like INTZ. But, in the end, whether INTZ finalizes the deal in September or October is rather irrelevant to the bigger picture. Speaking of the bigger picture, you may notice I mentioned INTZ is close to signing its “first” strategic partnership. That is because the company has hinted they expect to sign at least one, if not two, additional strategic partnerships over the next 6-12 months. Each of these partnerships would address various aspects of the cybersecurity market. While I am not aware of the identity of any of these partners, I am under the distinct impression they will be major players in their space and will, thus, validate the Shield product. With Scott’s resume (again: MSFT, VMW, Federal CIO), one can imagine the possibilities. In any case, based on Tony Scott’s commentary on the Q2 call, it sounds like INTZ expects their strategic partners to make a financial investment in the company. Based on all these factors, I believe the stock could rally if and when a strategic partnership is announced. Opportunities Abound In addition to the strategic partnership opportunities, INTZ already formed and announced smaller partnerships. For example, in June the company announced a reseller deal with InnerCore Technologies. And in August they entered an agreement with OneSmartLaboratory, a deal that required Shield to meet and exceed HIPAA regulations for Electronic Protected Health Information. But there are three other near-term opportunities I want to highlight in more depth. These include a new relationship with Super Micro Computer (SMCI), the possibility of being added to the GSA Schedule, as well as the approved list of the Department of Homeland Security ("DHS"), and an upcoming exhibit at the Association of the United States Army ("AUSA"). Super Micro Agreement On the Q2 call, Tony Scott announced an agreement with SMCI as INTZ’s primary global supplier of hardware. He then highlighted how SMCI supports INTZ’s expected growth. “First, Super Micro helps us improve the performance of our existing technology through its excellent engineering capabilities. Second, it serves as a reliable hardware partner, with the ability to get us products promptly as we strive to satisfy global customer demand. Third, Super Micro has a global presence with operations in over 100 countries, which will accelerate our hardware deployment and provide international technical support to our global customers at a local level.” SMCI Website While this agreement is important in its own right, one has to wonder if the INTZ-SMCI relationship will deepen over time. To this point, fellow Seeking Alpha author Shareholders Unite recently wrote a piece about SMCI. In that article, Shareholders Unite stressed that SMCI “is undergoing a successful transformation from one that offers products to a company that offers solutions.” The author later noted: “[SMCI] is morphing from being a supplier of parts to a Total Solution Provider, basically acting as a one-stop shop for customers.” I would further note that SMCI white labels other companies’ products, such as Office Depot computers and several cloud-related products. Based upon all of this, it seems plausible that the INTZ-SMCI relationship could blossom into something more down the road. Government-Related Opportunities With respect to government opportunities, I noted in my previous article that CEO Scott has a plethora of connections in this space due to his time as Federal CIO. But in addition to those opportunities, INTZ could benefit from much broader government programs. One such program is the GSA Schedule. GSA Schedule is shorthand for the U.S. General Services Administration Multiple Award Schedule. The GSA Schedule simplifies what otherwise would be an extremely complex navigation for governmental entities through US law. Based upon that law, there are numerous requirements that need to be met for a government entity to purchase from a private enterprise. The GSA Schedule simplifies this by providing these government entities with a list of private enterprises, products, and pricing that satisfies US law. In other words, if you are listed on the GSA Schedule, you have already been vetted and approved to be used. An individual government entity, therefore, does not need to conduct their own due diligence or negotiate fair pricing. In short, being listed on the GSA Schedule provides a company with an enormous opportunity to earn government business. According to people familiar with INTZ, the company’s Shield product will likely become listed on the GSA Schedule in tandem with a strategic partnership under negotiation. If that partnership falls through, INTZ would, of course, attempt to be listed under the GSA Schedule separately, but the quickest approach is to be adopted in through the strategic partnership. As important as this would be for INTZ, a source also hinted that the company could be approved by the DHS as well. This list is even more exclusive than the GSA Schedule, and could greatly bolster INTZ’s exposure to prospective government customers. Association of the United States Army The AUSA plans to host its 2022 Annual Meeting and Exposition on October 10-12 in Washington, DC. INTZ is listed as a “National Partner Member Organization” for this upcoming Exposition. While INTZ having an exhibit at this event would be significant any year, given that international military and government representatives regularly attend, it is most especially important this year. That is because the meeting’s theme is “Building the Army of 2030.” As part of this theme, the AUSA will specifically highlight the role of cybersecurity in the Army of 2030, meaning that INTZ will be one of the companies showcased at the center of the Exposition. I believe this opportunity with the AUSA will allow INTZ to make important connections with military and government representatives from around the world, entities increasingly concerned about specific cybersecurity attacks INTZ can uniquely help prevent. Intrusion Website Risks In my re-initiation article linked in the intro, I cited INTZ's biggest risk as its bad reputation from the circumstances surrounding their former CEO. I believe the advancements made and being made by Tony Scott are beginning to heavily mitigate this risk. Still, until the company receives major validation via a strategic partnership, some investors will likely want to stay away based on past concerns. Another risk with INTZ is the obvious need for a capital raise. On the Q2 call, Tony Scott clearly indicated the company expects to raise $15-20M via equity offerings over the next year or so. This is to help support the continued investment in the Shield product offerings, as well as to eventually fund a sales team once the products are ready to be heavily marketed. The company, as I noted in my prior article, already gained access to around $10M of that money via short-term debt obligations. The proceeds of the equity raises, then, would be partially used to pay down that debt. The company chose that route—initially taking out debt to later be settled via equity—because they believed the stock was massively undervalued. That turned out to be a wise move. Recently, INTZ filed a Form 8-K with the SEC, noting they entered a Securities Purchase Agreement for $5.9M of INTZ shares. The purchasers of the company’s stock paid market value for the shares plus warrants ($4.29). Notably, the purchase price was roughly twice the value of INTZ’s shares when they took on the short-term debt. Hence, my comment that the company handled this situation wisely. Data by YChartsSeeking Alpha • Aug 04
Intrusion GAAP EPS of -$0.21 misses by $0.03, revenue of $2.06M misses by $0.14M
Intrusion press release (NASDAQ:INTZ): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.21 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $2.06M (-23.4% Y/Y) misses by $0.14M.Seeking Alpha • Jun 09
Intrusion: New CEO Brings Credibility Back To The Company
INTZ, a small, once very respectable company, had its reputation tarnished by the actions of its former CEO. Following his departure, INTZ made an outstanding hire in new CEO, Tony Scott, who has been Federal CIO, as well as CIO at GM, DIS, MSFT, and VMW. The hiring of Mr. Scott, combined with a recently-announced reseller agreement, seems to indicate INTZ’s cybersecurity product actually works, as I verified with that reseller. Unlike the former CEO, Mr. Scott is not promising to change the world; he’s advertising the product as a complementary add-on to existing solutions. I believe INTZ is on track to sign a transformative agreement with a large player in the cybersecurity space, which should cause the stock to rally from current levels.Analysis Article • May 18
Does Intrusion (NASDAQ:INTZ) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Intrusion makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 7 | -9 | 9 | 5 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 7 | -8 | 9 | 5 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 7 | -8 | 8 | 5 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 6 | -8 | 8 | 5 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 6 | -8 | 8 | 4 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 5 | -9 | 9 | 4 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5 | -10 | 9 | 4 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 5 | -11 | 10 | 5 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 6 | -14 | 11 | 6 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 6 | -16 | 12 | 6 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 6 | -16 | 13 | 7 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 7 | -17 | 14 | 7 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 8 | -16 | 14 | 6 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 8 | -15 | 14 | 6 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 7 | -18 | 15 | 6 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 7 | -19 | 16 | 7 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 7 | -19 | 17 | 6 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 7 | -19 | 16 | 6 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 7 | -14 | 13 | 5 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 7 | -10 | 8 | 5 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 7 | -7 | 6 | 4 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 3 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 2 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 2 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 2 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 3 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 3 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 7 | -2 | 3 | 3 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 7 | -1 | 3 | 2 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 7 | -1 | 3 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Quality Earnings: INTZ is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: INTZ is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: INTZ is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 11.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare INTZ's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: INTZ is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Software industry (13%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: INTZ has a negative Return on Equity (-124.49%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 05:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Intrusion Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Edward Woo | Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC |
| Zachary Cummins | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Scott Buck | H.C. Wainwright & Co. |