What Fastly Stock's Security Growth Means For Shareholders

  • Fastly reported at the Citi 2026 Global TMT Conference that security and compute activities are now outpacing its traditional content delivery business, alongside four consecutive quarters of operating profit and a net revenue retention rate of 117%.
  • The emphasis on faster growing, higher margin security and edge compute services suggests Fastly is reshaping its revenue mix toward products that appear more closely tied to long term customer engagement and recurring usage.
  • The next area of focus will be how Fastly's four straight quarters of operating profit intersect with its existing investment narrative and risks.

Scan alongside Fastly and see which peers are pushing toward profitable growth with security and edge workloads by checking our curated 89 AI infrastructure stocks in the same corner of the market.

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Fastly Investment Narrative Recap

To own Fastly, you need to buy into an edge cloud platform that is trying to shift its mix toward security and compute while still proving it can sustain profits. The latest update from the Citi 2026 Global TMT Conference speaks mainly to that first part. Four quarters of operating profit and a 117% net revenue retention rate give the current execution story some support. The key near term catalyst is whether higher margin products can keep outgrowing the core CDN. The main risk remains that costs, competition, and customer concentration keep profitability fragile.

The recent commentary about security and compute outpacing traditional content delivery ties back to earlier efforts to expand Fastly beyond pure CDN. Management has talked about leaning into next generation WAF, DDoS protection, and edge compute as ways to deepen customer usage and support higher margin services. That is the same playbook investors are watching now. If cross product adoption continues to rise and more clients rely on multiple Fastly offerings, the operating narrative around recurring usage and net retention stays intact. Execution against that mix shift is what links this news to future catalysts.

Even so, there is a pressure point in the Fastly story that could matter more than the recent share price jump if ...

Read the full Fastly narrative to see the case behind these numbers.

Fastly's narrative projects US$947.9 million revenue and US$76.8 million earnings by 2029. This implies 11.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings swing of about US$157.9 million, from a loss of US$81.1 million today to the forecast level.

Fastly's forecasts put fair value at $27.00 compared with $22.71, a 19% upside to its current price that may not last long.

NasdaqGS:FSLY 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NasdaqGS:FSLY 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

For a different angle on Fastly, focus on the bullish view that multi year, high commit contracts could matter more than current profitability worries. The most optimistic analysts were modeling revenue of about US$980.9 million and earnings of US$76.8 million by 2029, before this update. Those forecasts may change as this latest security and compute commentary is incorporated, so treat today as a chance to compare several narratives rather than settle on just one.

To put Fastly's current pricing in context, compare it with 4 other fair value estimates for Fastly from the wider community.

The Verdict Is Yours

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so trust your own analysis and judgment.

Looking For More Ideas Beyond Fastly?

If the Fastly story has you thinking about where else to focus capital, a quick scan through a few curated screeners can surface other stocks with traits that fit your style, whether you lean toward value, resilience, or future potential.

  • For investors who want quality at a reasonable price, review companies flagged in the 31 high quality undervalued stocks. These pair stronger fundamentals with more modest valuations.
  • If capital preservation and steadier profiles matter more to you than headline growth, filter for candidates in the 10 resilient stocks with low risk scores. These score better on balance sheet and risk checks.
  • When you are hunting for future leaders before they are widely followed, scan the 17 high quality undiscovered gems. These highlight businesses with stronger fundamentals yet lower market attention.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour.

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour. cover
88
R
Rob_Curious

What I've learnt in the last six months is that fuel supply disruption is a real portfolio risk, and one of the better hedges is a small allocation to shipping. Though it's insane how much these have run up this year.

f
frank_ub3n0

Spot on. Shipping and logistics is much larger constraint for gas than oil. Sorry to break it to you. No quick fixes for that.

Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
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About NasdaqGS:FSLY

Fastly

Operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer’s applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with low risk.

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Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

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