You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11x JFrog Ltd. (NASDAQ:FROG) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.2x and even P/S lower than 1.5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for JFrog
What Does JFrog's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, JFrog has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JFrog.How Is JFrog's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like JFrog's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 127% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why JFrog's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does JFrog's P/S Mean For Investors?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of JFrog's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for JFrog that you need to be mindful of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:FROG
JFrog
Provides end-to-end hybrid software supply chain platform in the United States, Israel, India, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet low.