Stock Analysis

At US$11.24, Is It Time To Put EverCommerce Inc. (NASDAQ:EVCM) On Your Watch List?

NasdaqGS:EVCM
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EverCommerce Inc. (NASDAQ:EVCM), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine EverCommerce’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for EverCommerce

What's The Opportunity In EverCommerce?

According to our valuation model, EverCommerce seems to be fairly priced at around 7.7% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy EverCommerce today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $12.17, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that EverCommerce’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of EverCommerce look like?

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NasdaqGS:EVCM Earnings and Revenue Growth July 3rd 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of EverCommerce, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 8.8% in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in EVCM’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on EVCM, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - EverCommerce has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in EverCommerce, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.