Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Following Record Bitcoin Output And AI Expansion Still Looks Undervalued

Bitdeer Technologies Group (NasdaqCM:BTDR) recently reported unaudited June 2026 operating metrics that highlighted record Bitcoin production, a larger managed hash rate base, and progress on AI infrastructure and hardware manufacturing projects across multiple regions.

See our latest analysis for Bitdeer Technologies Group.

The June update and recent AI and manufacturing projects come after a mixed share price run for Bitdeer Technologies Group, with a 1-day share price return of 9.76%, a year to date share price return of 8.05%, and a 1-year total shareholder return that declined 14.81%. The 3-year total shareholder return is 21.52%, which suggests that short term momentum is picking up on the back of fresh operational news, while longer term performance remains uneven.

If you are looking beyond Bitdeer’s AI and infrastructure story, this is a good moment to see what else is moving in high performance computing and AI infrastructure stocks via the 54 AI infrastructure stocks.

After June’s record Bitcoin haul and a sharp one day jump in Bitdeer Technologies Group’s share price, the key issue now is whether the current valuation still offers an appealing balance of risk and reward for new money.

Most Popular Narrative: 42% Undervalued

Bitdeer Technologies Group's most followed narrative points to a fair value of $21.52 against a last close of $12.48, which frames the recent June update in a very different light for anyone weighing the current share price against long term expectations.

The planned commercialization of SEALMINER ASICs, coupled with a high demand for energy efficient mining machines, represents a diversification of revenue streams and is likely to enhance revenue growth as Bitdeer becomes a key player in the ASIC market.

Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what sits behind that confidence in Bitdeer Technologies Group's ASIC and data center plans? The narrative leans on rapid top line expansion, a future margin profile that looks very different to today, and a valuation multiple usually reserved for established software leaders. Curious which assumptions need to hold for the $21.52 figure to stack up against the current share price?

Result: Fair Value of $21.52 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, Bitdeer Technologies Group still faces pressure from recent revenue softness and high R&D and capital spending, which could weigh on margins if new projects disappoint.

Find out about the key risks to this Bitdeer Technologies Group narrative.

Another View: Bitdeer Technologies Group On Sales Based Valuation

The main narrative around Bitdeer Technologies Group leans on future earnings and a $21.52 fair value, but the current P/S of 4.1x tells a different story. It sits above the US Software industry at 3.6x, yet below peers at 6.7x, while the fair ratio estimate is 3.7x. That gap points to higher valuation risk than the earnings based narrative alone suggests, so which signal do you trust more?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Next Steps

If this mix of optimism and caution around Bitdeer Technologies Group feels familiar, do not sit on the fence. Review the key risks and potential upsides now by checking the 1 key reward and 4 important warning signs.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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