Stock Analysis

Brightcove Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BCOV) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Published
NasdaqGS:BCOV

Despite an already strong run, Brightcove Inc. (NASDAQ:BCOV) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 21% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, Brightcove's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Brightcove

NasdaqGS:BCOV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2024

How Brightcove Has Been Performing

Brightcove hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Brightcove's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Brightcove's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Brightcove's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 5.8% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.3% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Brightcove's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Brightcove's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Brightcove's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Brightcove's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Brightcove (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brightcove might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.