Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Digital Turbine (NASDAQ:APPS) Use Debt?

NasdaqCM:APPS
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Digital Turbine, Inc. (NASDAQ:APPS) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Digital Turbine

What Is Digital Turbine's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Digital Turbine had debt of US$407.6m, up from US$383.8m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$32.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$374.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:APPS Debt to Equity History December 20th 2024

How Strong Is Digital Turbine's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Digital Turbine had liabilities of US$223.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$438.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$32.8m in cash and US$191.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$437.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$155.6m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Digital Turbine would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Digital Turbine's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Digital Turbine made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$492m, which is a fall of 17%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Digital Turbine's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$46m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$34m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Digital Turbine (including 2 which are concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.