Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For AudioEye, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEYE) After Shares Rise 53%

NasdaqCM:AEYE
Source: Shutterstock

AudioEye, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEYE) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 53% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 308% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

After such a large jump in price, AudioEye may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for AudioEye

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AEYE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024

How AudioEye Has Been Performing

AudioEye could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AudioEye.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AudioEye would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 2.8% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 44% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 14%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that AudioEye's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On AudioEye's P/S

AudioEye's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that AudioEye currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for AudioEye (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:AEYE

AudioEye

Provides patented, internet content publication, distribution software, and related services to Internet and other media to people regardless of their device, location, or disabilities in the United States.

Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

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