Shareholders Are Thrilled That The Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Share Price Increased 106%

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For example, the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price has soared 106% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Meanwhile the share price is 2.0% higher than it was a week ago.

Check out our latest analysis for Automatic Data Processing

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Automatic Data Processing managed to grow its earnings per share at 16% a year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 16%. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGS:ADP Past and Future Earnings, February 11th 2020
NasdaqGS:ADP Past and Future Earnings, February 11th 2020

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

Advertisement

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Automatic Data Processing the TSR over the last 5 years was 130%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Automatic Data Processing shareholders have received returns of 22% over twelve months (even including dividends) , which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 18%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Automatic Data Processing scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

We will like Automatic Data Processing better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Nasdaq will soon let you trade 23 hours a day. Buffett's advice was to barely trade at all.

78
s
sarah_c5otv

Discipline, Patience & Restraint will become a bigger and better edge now.

singhappily
singhappily

Great news for anyone who felt their regrets were insufficiently spread across the day.

Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
73

About NasdaqGS:ADP

Automatic Data Processing

Provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions worldwide.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CL
Clive_Thompson
Recommended Voice
UG logo
Clive_Thompson on Upside Gold ·

Upside Gold - New Technical Report Expected in Q1 2027 Could Re-Rate The Stock.

Fair Value:CA$1.552.7% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
Emerging Author
AROC logo
composite32 on Archrock ·

AI Needs Power. Power Needs Gas. Gas Needs Compression: The Archrock Investment Thesis

Fair Value:US$44.8829.7% undervalued
35 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
Emerging Author
AEIS logo
John_Eric on Advanced Energy Industries ·

AEIS Is Firing on Every Cylinder. My Problem Is the Safety Factor.

Fair Value:US$567.8653.8% undervalued
22 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
IS
LRCX logo
isidrohg on Lam Research ·

The Memory Shortage Is Lam's Order Book — Whether It Persists Or Resolves

Fair Value:US$423.8532.0% undervalued
25 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
MAU logo
RockeTeller on Montage Gold ·

Montage Gold, Building West Africa’s Next 300Koz Producer, First Pour Late 2026, 5.88Moz Resource

Fair Value:CA$23.510.1% undervalued
18 users have followed this narrative
5 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
OO
VST logo
OOO97 on Vistra ·

VST is a conservative way to Ride America´s Hunger for AI Energy Demand (slightly undervalued at 140, estimated 171)

Fair Value:US$17117.7% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
GE
Genious_Trades
TOYO logo
Genious_Trades on TOYO ·

The $14 Disconnect: Why the Market is not Correctly Pricing TOYO’s U.S. Solar Expansion

Fair Value:US$1570.6% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8326.6% undervalued
1488 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8918.3% undervalued
1648 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32722.4% undervalued
1664 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative