Should NeoPhotonics Be Disappointed With Their 32% Profit?

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If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN) share price is 32% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 3.1% in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 29% in three years.

View our latest analysis for NeoPhotonics

Because NeoPhotonics is loss-making, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because it’s hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

NeoPhotonics actually shrunk its revenue over the last year, with a reduction of 5.4%. The stock is up 32% in that time, a fine performance given the revenue drop. To us that means that there isn’t a lot of correlation between the past revenue performance and the share price, but a closer look at analyst forecasts and the bottom line may well explain a lot.

The graphic below shows how revenue and earnings have changed as management guided the business forward. If you want to see cashflow, you can click on the chart.

NYSE:NPTN Income Statement, February 22nd 2019
NYSE:NPTN Income Statement, February 22nd 2019

You can see how its financial situation has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

We’re pleased to report that NeoPhotonics shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.4% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. If you would like to research NeoPhotonics in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.