Stock Analysis

TOYO (NASDAQ:TOYO) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that TOYO Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ:TOYO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is TOYO's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that TOYO had US$112.8m of debt in June 2025, down from US$121.6m, one year before. However, it does have US$28.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$84.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:TOYO Debt to Equity History December 6th 2025

How Strong Is TOYO's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, TOYO had liabilities of US$249.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$34.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$28.2m and US$16.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$238.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$239.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on TOYO's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is TOYO's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

View our latest analysis for TOYO

In the last year TOYO had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to US$178m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While TOYO's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$3.9m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$9.8m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for TOYO (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TOYO might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:TOYO

TOYO

Engages in the upstream production of wafer and silicon, midstream production of solar cell, downstream production of photovoltaic (PV) modules, and other stages of the solar power supply chain in Asia and the United States.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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