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QUALCOMM (QCOM): Exploring the Valuation After Recent Share Price Swings
Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
QUALCOMM (QCOM) shares have seen small but noticeable moves lately, inviting investors to take a closer look at how the company's valuation stacks up. With fresh numbers in, there is more to consider about the semiconductor giant's longer-term prospects.
See our latest analysis for QUALCOMM.
QUALCOMM’s share price has shown bursts of momentum lately, with a 6.42% jump in the last week and a year-to-date gain of 6.39%. While the current 1-year total shareholder return is slightly negative, the longer-term track record remains strong, as seen in its 51.36% three-year total return. Investors are paying close attention because these swings hint at changing sentiment around the company’s growth and valuation prospects.
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With QUALCOMM shares trading below analyst price targets but delivering modest growth, the real question is whether the market is overlooking future upside or if the company’s prospects are already included in today’s price.
Most Popular Narrative: 8% Undervalued
QUALCOMM's most followed narrative prices the company at $177.71, notably above the last close of $163.45, prompting questions about what key drivers are justifying this higher fair value versus the current market view.
Strategic entry into the data center, accelerated by the Alphawave acquisition, positions Qualcomm to capture new high-growth markets as AI inference and edge workloads scale. This could lead to potential material revenue contribution starting in FY28. This catalyst can drive both revenue and high-margin licensing streams.
Curious why so many investors believe QUALCOMM's future is brighter than its price suggests? The narrative pulls in bullish projections for new business segments and higher profit potential. Can these bold assumptions really unlock value the market is missing? The full story is built on some surprising growth bets. Take a closer look to see if you agree with their blueprint.
Result: Fair Value of $177.71 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rising competition and ongoing geopolitical tensions remain real threats. These factors could disrupt QUALCOMM’s growth ambitions and challenge bullish long-term projections.
Find out about the key risks to this QUALCOMM narrative.
Build Your Own QUALCOMM Narrative
If you see the story differently or want to dive deeper into the numbers yourself, you can shape your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding QUALCOMM.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Discover if QUALCOMM might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NasdaqGS:QCOM
QUALCOMM
Engages in the development and commercialization of foundational technologies for the wireless industry worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

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