MaxLinear, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MXL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.3b

MaxLinear Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

MaxLinear is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 107.8% and 19.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 106.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.5% in 3 years.

Key information

107.8%

Earnings growth rate

106.94%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth26.1%
Revenue growth rate19.5%
Future return on equity30.55%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated27 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 21

MaxLinear: Underappreciated AI Infrastructure Play With Major Upside Potential

Summary MaxLinear is undergoing a major transformation as high‑margin AI optical products—Keystone, Rushmore, and Washington—begin replacing its legacy broadband revenue base. Management commentary suggests multiple product ramps across several hyperscalers, while current analyst estimates appear to model only a single program. The key milestones to watch are a Q2 step‑function in optical revenue, gross margin expansion toward the high end of guidance, and continued diversification across hyperscalers through module‑maker wins. Although near‑term financials remain messy, the long‑term risk‑reward profile may appeal to patient, growth‑oriented investors who believe MaxLinear's AI‑infrastructure thesis will play out. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 14

MXL: Infrastructure Demand Inflection Will Eventually Fail To Justify Current P/E

Analysts have sharply lifted their MaxLinear price targets, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $27.50 to roughly $73.73. Recent initiations, upgrades and target hikes reflect higher assumed revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook and a much higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Apr 24

MXL: Higher Expectations For Margins Will Likely Expose Execution Risk

Analysts have raised their price targets on MaxLinear by $11 and $12 in recent research, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions as key factors behind the revised valuation views. Analyst Commentary While recent research has pointed to higher valuation benchmarks for MaxLinear, some bearish analysts are still flagging important risks that could limit how much upside investors are willing to pay for at current levels.
Narrative Update • Apr 08

MXL: Discount Rate And Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have increased their price target on MaxLinear by $3, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that keep fair value around $21.55. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target as consistent with updated assumptions that still anchor fair value around US$21.55, which they view as a reasonable reflection of current information on revenue, margins, and P/E.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

MXL: Higher Margin Focus And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have raised their price target on MaxLinear by $3. This reflects adjustments to their assumptions on profit margins, discount rate and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update • Mar 09

MXL: Rising Margin Conviction And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $3, reflecting updated views on its profit margin outlook and valuation multiples while keeping estimated fair value broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the raised price target as a reflection of improved conviction in MaxLinear's profit margin outlook, suggesting that recent adjustments better capture its earnings potential.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

MXL: Higher Earnings Margins And Buybacks Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $1.70 to $21.55, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples discussed in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$21.55 target as consistent with updated views on what they consider a fair value range for MaxLinear, given current assumptions around revenue growth and profit margins used in their models.
Narrative Update • Feb 09

MXL: Higher Fair Value And Buybacks Will Likely Mask Execution Risk

Narrative Update: MaxLinear Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have lifted their MaxLinear fair value estimate from $16.00 to $17.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations as key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary While some analysts have raised their fair value expectations for MaxLinear, others remain cautious and highlight several risks that they believe could limit upside for the stock.
Narrative Update • Jan 25

MXL: Raised Expectations And Buybacks Will Likely Struggle Against Execution Risk

Narrative update on MaxLinear Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $3, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers behind this change. Analyst Commentary While the latest target move reflects updated assumptions on revenue, margins and future P/E, not every part of the Street is leaning in the same direction.
Narrative Update • Jan 11

MXL: Recovery Hopes And Buybacks Will Face Tight Margin Of Safety

Analysts have nudged their price target on MaxLinear up by $2 to $23, citing what they describe as another solid quarter and a view that the company is steadily rebuilding after a pronounced downcycle. Analyst Commentary While the higher US$23 price target reflects some renewed confidence in MaxLinear's recovery after its downcycle, not all commentary skews positive.
Narrative Update • Dec 15

MXL Share Buybacks And 5G Wins Will Drive Measured Recovery Ahead

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MaxLinear higher, lifting the target from $15.00 to $16.00 as they point to solid Q3 execution and a return to more stable growth following the recent industry downcycle. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more constructive stance on MaxLinear in the wake of its Q3 results, with at least one firm lifting its price target into the low $20s and reiterating a favorable rating.
Analysis Article • Nov 19

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving MaxLinear, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MXL) 26% Price Drop

MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Analysis Article • Sep 16

At US$16.60, Is It Time To Put MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) On Your Watch List?

MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 42% in the...
Analysis Article • Jul 13

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By MaxLinear, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MXL) 28% Share Price Surge

Despite an already strong run, MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the...
Analysis Article • Jun 23

MaxLinear, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MXL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, MaxLinear fair value estimate is US$20.14 MaxLinear's US$13.17...
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New Narrative • May 16

Data Centers, Broadband And Wireless Advances Will Open Future Markets

Strong progress in data center products and new market applications positions MaxLinear for significant revenue growth in the future.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 10

MaxLinear Heading For An Upturn, But The Valuation Seems To Anticipate This

Summary MaxLinear's stock has been volatile, recovering from a plunge after Q2'24 earnings, but still underperforming compared to stronger datacenter peers like Broadcom and Marvell. Management's optimistic projections for Broadband and Connectivity revenue and datacenter interconnect are questionable, but there are opportunities in Ethernet PHY, storage acceleration, and PON. Revenue should start recovering in 2025, and I expect 20%-plus revenue growth in '25/'26, but real traction in datacenter interconnect and stronger cable broadband demand are key for upside. Despite the likelihood of the business turning up in 2025, the current valuation isn't attractive enough to warrant a positive recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MXL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028875651412295
12/31/20277924415420810
12/31/2026657-46407211
3/31/2026509-132222N/A
12/31/2025468-137020N/A
9/30/2025423-180-38-19N/A
6/30/2025378-210-78-59N/A
3/31/2025361-223-89-73N/A
12/31/2024361-245-69-45N/A
9/30/2024394-226-56-34N/A
6/30/2024448-190-35-16N/A
3/31/2024540-155-517N/A
12/31/2023693-732443N/A
9/30/2023858-494129N/A
6/30/20231,00965156204N/A
3/31/20231,105101248297N/A
12/31/20221,120125336389N/A
9/30/20221,078122287335N/A
6/30/20221,022103309358N/A
3/31/202294772213262N/A
12/31/202189242121168N/A
9/30/2021839-11188226N/A
6/30/2021766-5797126N/A
3/31/2021626-7986107N/A
12/31/2020479-995874N/A
9/30/2020354-821427N/A
6/30/2020277-505766N/A
3/31/2020295-316369N/A
12/31/2019317-20N/A78N/A
9/30/2019335-11N/A74N/A
6/30/2019340-21N/A83N/A
3/31/2019359-33N/A107N/A
12/31/2018385-26N/A103N/A
9/30/2018411-46N/A100N/A
6/30/2018440-41N/A107N/A
3/31/2018442-16N/A64N/A
12/31/2017420-9N/A75N/A
9/30/201739419N/A81N/A
6/30/201737637N/A62N/A
3/31/201737449N/A101N/A
12/31/201638861N/A117N/A
9/30/201640044N/A114N/A
6/30/201639936N/A118N/A
3/31/2016368-17N/A90N/A
12/31/2015300-42N/A55N/A
9/30/2015234-36N/A25N/A
6/30/2015171-41N/A9N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MXL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: MXL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MXL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MXL's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MXL's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MXL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 11:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MaxLinear, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Cody AcreeBenchmark Company
Karl AckermanBNP Paribas
Jaywant SrivatsaChardan Capital Markets, LLC