Stock Analysis

SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) Surges 32% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqCM:LAES
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SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 90% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, SEALSQ's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.8x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for SEALSQ

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LAES Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 8th 2024

What Does SEALSQ's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for SEALSQ as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SEALSQ.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as SEALSQ's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 110% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 37% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 37%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that SEALSQ's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, SEALSQ's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that SEALSQ maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for SEALSQ you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.