Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of SEALSQ Corp's (NASDAQ:LAES) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 27%

NasdaqCM:LAES
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The SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 94% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, SEALSQ may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.5x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for SEALSQ

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LAES Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

What Does SEALSQ's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for SEALSQ as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SEALSQ will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as SEALSQ's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 110% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 37% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 40%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that SEALSQ's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

SEALSQ's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that SEALSQ's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, SEALSQ's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SEALSQ (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.