Stock Analysis

Is First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:FSLR
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for First Solar

What Is First Solar's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 First Solar had US$558.9m of debt, an increase on US$437.4m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$1.74b in cash, leading to a US$1.18b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:FSLR Debt to Equity History August 21st 2024

How Healthy Is First Solar's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that First Solar had liabilities of US$1.77b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.99b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.74b and US$768.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.25b.

Given First Solar has a humongous market capitalization of US$24.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, First Solar also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Even more impressive was the fact that First Solar grew its EBIT by 1,160% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine First Solar's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While First Solar has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, First Solar burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that First Solar has US$1.18b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 1,160% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with First Solar's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with First Solar (including 1 which is concerning) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.