Stock Analysis

FormFactor, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORM) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

NasdaqGS:FORM
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There wouldn't be many who think FormFactor, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Semiconductor industry in the United States is similar at about 3.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for FormFactor

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FORM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 19th 2024

What Does FormFactor's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

FormFactor could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on FormFactor.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like FormFactor's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 2.6% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.9% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 43% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that FormFactor is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of FormFactor's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for FormFactor that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of FormFactor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.