Fast Retailing Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:FRCO.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$103.1b

Fast Retailing Valuation

Is FRCO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRCO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FRCO.F ($332.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($104.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRCO.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRCO.F?

Key metric: As FRCO.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FRCO.F. This is calculated by dividing FRCO.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FRCO.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.5x
EarningsJP¥372.00b
Market CapJP¥16.17t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRCO.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRCO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
TJX TJX Companies
28.2x7.5%US$136.2b
ROST Ross Stores
23.3x7.8%US$48.8b
BURL Burlington Stores
38.1x19.2%US$17.7b
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.5x5.6%US$7.7b
FRCO.F Fast Retailing
43.5x8.8%US$16.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRCO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the peer average (25.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRCO.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$14.44m
SSOK Sunstock
0.8xn/aUS$556.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$168.03k
FTCH.Q Farfetch
n/an/aUS$395.00
FRCO.F 43.5xIndustry Avg. 16.6xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRCO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRCO.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRCO.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FRCO.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRCO.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$349.07
0%
8.4%US$420.20US$297.37n/a16
Dec ’25US$320.65
US$347.65
+8.4%
10.0%US$430.19US$297.82n/a16
Nov ’25US$331.00
US$339.94
+2.7%
11.1%US$428.08US$270.02n/a15
Oct ’25US$350.41
US$330.89
-5.6%
8.8%US$382.68US$285.27n/a15
Sep ’25US$314.36
US$318.74
+1.4%
6.7%US$354.08US$283.54n/a15
Aug ’25US$265.45
US$295.99
+11.5%
8.2%US$332.66US$259.89n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$277.31
0%
6.5%US$305.98US$248.76n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
US$284.03
0%
6.8%US$313.10US$254.55n/a14
May ’25n/a
US$286.23
0%
7.7%US$316.81US$244.69n/a13
Apr ’25US$302.05
US$277.76
-8.0%
7.3%US$310.38US$250.95n/a12
Mar ’25US$290.00
US$263.08
-9.3%
6.6%US$305.28US$231.22n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
US$263.33
0%
7.2%US$311.40US$235.85n/a12
Jan ’25US$250.05
US$266.03
+6.4%
5.4%US$294.23US$244.93n/a12
Dec ’24US$250.60
US$250.35
-0.1%
6.4%US$280.77US$222.66US$320.6513
Nov ’24US$223.00
US$250.35
+12.3%
6.4%US$280.77US$222.66US$331.0013
Oct ’24US$218.25
US$243.71
+11.7%
6.9%US$266.63US$214.41US$350.4111
Sep ’24US$219.16
US$248.92
+13.6%
7.2%US$274.82US$219.86US$314.3613
Aug ’24n/a
US$254.28
0%
7.4%US$281.16US$224.93US$265.4513
Jul ’24US$247.00
US$243.08
-1.6%
7.5%US$271.24US$215.60n/a13
Jun ’24n/a
US$236.39
0%
6.3%US$265.56US$215.32n/a13
May ’24n/a
US$237.70
0%
6.9%US$271.58US$207.96n/a13
Apr ’24n/a
US$230.18
0%
6.8%US$250.35US$198.85US$302.0513
Mar ’24n/a
US$217.32
0%
8.8%US$240.36US$176.23US$290.0013
Feb ’24n/a
US$227.42
0%
8.8%US$251.53US$184.42n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
US$221.60
0%
8.5%US$248.21US$191.69US$250.0513
Dec ’23n/a
US$202.06
0%
9.4%US$229.66US$172.81US$250.6013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 04:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/13 00:00
Earnings2024/08/31
Annual Earnings2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. is covered by 42 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Maki ShinozakiBarclays
James MoonBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Arashi NishizawaBofA Global Research