Fast Retailing Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:FRCO.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$98.3b

Fast Retailing Valuation

Is FRCO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRCO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FRCO.F ($331) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($116.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRCO.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRCO.F?

Key metric: As FRCO.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FRCO.F. This is calculated by dividing FRCO.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FRCO.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.8x
EarningsJP¥372.00b
Market CapJP¥15.17t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRCO.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRCO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
TJX TJX Companies
28.3x7.6%US$135.3b
ROST Ross Stores
22.6x7.7%US$46.7b
BURL Burlington Stores
40x17.8%US$16.9b
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.6x2.9%US$7.4b
FRCO.F Fast Retailing
40.8x8.4%US$15.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRCO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the peer average (26.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRCO.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
1.7xn/aUS$11.23m
SSOK Sunstock
1.8xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$144.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$11.24k
FRCO.F 40.8xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRCO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRCO.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRCO.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FRCO.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRCO.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$341.67
0%
10.3%US$423.04US$292.88n/a15
Nov ’25US$331.00
US$339.94
+2.7%
11.1%US$428.08US$270.02n/a15
Oct ’25US$350.41
US$330.89
-5.6%
8.8%US$382.68US$285.27n/a15
Sep ’25US$314.36
US$318.74
+1.4%
6.7%US$354.08US$283.54n/a15
Aug ’25US$265.45
US$295.99
+11.5%
8.2%US$332.66US$259.89n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$277.31
0%
6.5%US$305.98US$248.76n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
US$284.03
0%
6.8%US$313.10US$254.55n/a14
May ’25n/a
US$286.23
0%
7.7%US$316.81US$244.69n/a13
Apr ’25US$302.05
US$277.76
-8.0%
7.3%US$310.38US$250.95n/a12
Mar ’25US$290.00
US$263.08
-9.3%
6.6%US$305.28US$231.22n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
US$263.33
0%
7.2%US$311.40US$235.85n/a12
Jan ’25US$250.05
US$266.03
+6.4%
5.4%US$294.23US$244.93n/a12
Dec ’24US$250.60
US$250.35
-0.1%
6.4%US$280.77US$222.66n/a13
Nov ’24US$223.00
US$250.35
+12.3%
6.4%US$280.77US$222.66US$331.0013
Oct ’24US$218.25
US$243.71
+11.7%
6.9%US$266.63US$214.41US$350.4111
Sep ’24US$219.16
US$248.92
+13.6%
7.2%US$274.82US$219.86US$314.3613
Aug ’24n/a
US$254.28
0%
7.4%US$281.16US$224.93US$265.4513
Jul ’24US$247.00
US$243.08
-1.6%
7.5%US$271.24US$215.60n/a13
Jun ’24n/a
US$236.39
0%
6.3%US$265.56US$215.32n/a13
May ’24n/a
US$237.70
0%
6.9%US$271.58US$207.96n/a13
Apr ’24n/a
US$230.18
0%
6.8%US$250.35US$198.85US$302.0513
Mar ’24n/a
US$217.32
0%
8.8%US$240.36US$176.23US$290.0013
Feb ’24n/a
US$227.42
0%
8.8%US$251.53US$184.42n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
US$221.60
0%
8.5%US$248.21US$191.69US$250.0513
Dec ’23n/a
US$202.06
0%
9.4%US$229.66US$172.81US$250.6013
Nov ’23US$188.67
US$199.02
+5.5%
10.0%US$227.58US$171.25US$223.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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