Aritzia Inc.

OTCPK:ATZA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Aritzia Valuation

Is ATZA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATZA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$125.96
Fair Value
67.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ATZA.F ($40.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($125.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATZA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATZA.F?

Key metric: As ATZA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATZA.F. This is calculated by dividing ATZA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ATZA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.1x
EarningsCA$207.79m
Market CapCA$5.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATZA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATZA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
6.1x-1.5%US$3.4b
URBN Urban Outfitters
12.6x3.8%US$4.9b
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings
20.1x8.9%US$3.3b
AEO American Eagle Outfitters
5.8x-2.0%US$1.8b
ATZA.F Aritzia
31.1x23.0%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATZA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATZA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.2xn/aUS$14.65m
SSOK Sunstock
0.8xn/aUS$572.82k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.1xn/aUS$240.04k
COSG Cosmos Group Holdings
0.0005xn/aUS$229.30k
ATZA.F 31.1xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATZA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATZA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATZA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATZA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATZA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$40.72
US$50.04
+22.9%
10.9%US$61.56US$43.45n/a10
Apr ’26US$35.00
US$52.81
+50.9%
7.5%US$59.37US$45.40n/a10
Mar ’26US$46.05
US$52.33
+13.6%
7.5%US$58.76US$44.94n/a10
Feb ’26US$48.04
US$50.42
+5.0%
5.7%US$55.13US$45.36n/a8
Jan ’26US$36.90
US$40.58
+10.0%
6.3%US$45.93US$36.53n/a8
Dec ’25US$33.35
US$42.10
+26.2%
6.3%US$47.96US$38.15n/a8
Nov ’25US$32.63
US$42.10
+29.0%
6.3%US$47.96US$38.15n/a8
Oct ’25US$36.86
US$38.26
+3.8%
6.3%US$41.51US$34.84n/a8
Sep ’25US$34.11
US$36.15
+6.0%
4.8%US$39.04US$33.98n/a8
Aug ’25US$31.99
US$36.15
+13.0%
4.8%US$39.04US$33.98n/a8
Jul ’25US$27.53
US$32.35
+17.5%
10.3%US$38.64US$29.16n/a8
Jun ’25US$25.00
US$32.16
+28.7%
10.3%US$38.74US$29.24n/a8
May ’25US$26.00
US$31.02
+19.3%
9.7%US$36.60US$27.08US$35.288
Apr ’25US$27.61
US$30.50
+10.5%
12.0%US$36.85US$25.06US$35.008
Mar ’25US$25.95
US$28.06
+8.1%
19.4%US$36.92US$16.24US$46.059
Feb ’25US$25.96
US$26.20
+0.9%
14.5%US$29.75US$16.36US$48.049
Jan ’25US$21.05
US$24.52
+16.5%
17.1%US$29.92US$14.96US$36.909
Dec ’24US$19.15
US$23.65
+23.5%
20.2%US$30.19US$14.72US$33.358
Nov ’24US$15.15
US$23.65
+56.1%
20.2%US$30.19US$14.72US$32.638
Oct ’24US$17.73
US$23.65
+33.4%
20.2%US$30.19US$14.72US$36.868
Sep ’24US$18.26
US$27.53
+50.8%
16.2%US$34.93US$20.50US$34.118
Aug ’24US$19.10
US$27.53
+44.1%
16.2%US$34.93US$20.50US$31.998
Jul ’24US$27.87
US$38.07
+36.6%
8.5%US$45.45US$33.33US$27.538
Jun ’24US$26.17
US$36.80
+40.6%
9.1%US$44.04US$32.29US$25.007
May ’24US$32.44
US$46.08
+42.0%
3.1%US$48.65US$44.16US$26.007
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
US$49.87
Fair Value
18.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/02 21:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/03/02
Annual Earnings2025/03/02

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aritzia Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Stephen MacLeodBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jingyuan XiaoBofA Global Research