Warby Parker Inc.

NYSE:WRBY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Warby Parker Valuation

Is WRBY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WRBY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WRBY ($25.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WRBY is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WRBY?

Key metric: As WRBY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for WRBY. This is calculated by dividing WRBY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is WRBY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.1x
SalesUS$742.53m
Market CapUS$2.92b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does WRBY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for WRBY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
SIG Signet Jewelers
0.5x1.5%US$3.5b
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors
0.6x4.9%US$3.9b
FIVE Five Below
1.5x9.0%US$5.9b
UPBD Upbound Group
0.4x4.0%US$1.6b
WRBY Warby Parker
4.1x12.0%US$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: WRBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does WRBY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

46 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TA TravelCenters of America
0.1x-0.8%US$1.30b
ARKO Arko
0.09x-1.7%US$790.72m
ODP ODP
0.1x-2.1%US$732.47m
AAN Aaron's Company
0.1x2.4%US$306.82m
WRBY 4.1xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies46PS00.61.21.82.43+
46 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: WRBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WRBY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WRBY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: WRBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WRBY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$25.18
US$22.23
-11.7%
19.0%US$30.00US$17.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$22.54
US$20.69
-8.2%
12.0%US$26.00US$17.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$17.45
US$17.31
-0.8%
11.4%US$20.00US$14.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$15.58
US$16.93
+8.7%
10.8%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$14.92
US$16.93
+13.5%
10.8%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$15.86
US$16.58
+4.6%
11.1%US$19.00US$14.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$15.87
US$16.50
+4.0%
11.5%US$19.00US$14.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$17.71
US$16.50
-6.8%
11.5%US$19.00US$14.00n/a12
May ’25US$11.98
US$15.17
+26.6%
15.9%US$19.00US$12.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$14.00
US$15.17
+8.3%
15.9%US$19.00US$12.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$12.90
US$15.69
+21.6%
18.8%US$22.00US$12.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$13.05
US$15.69
+20.2%
20.4%US$22.00US$12.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$14.10
US$15.38
+9.1%
22.6%US$22.00US$11.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$11.05
US$15.38
+39.2%
22.6%US$22.00US$11.00US$22.5413
Nov ’24US$12.41
US$15.85
+27.7%
19.6%US$22.00US$12.00US$17.4513
Oct ’24US$13.16
US$15.75
+19.7%
20.4%US$22.00US$12.00US$15.5812
Sep ’24US$12.14
US$16.00
+31.8%
20.3%US$22.00US$12.00US$14.9211
Aug ’24US$14.51
US$15.73
+8.4%
21.9%US$22.00US$12.00US$15.8611
Jul ’24US$11.69
US$15.73
+34.5%
21.9%US$22.00US$12.00US$15.8711
Jun ’24US$11.29
US$15.73
+39.3%
21.9%US$22.00US$12.00US$17.7111
May ’24US$11.13
US$15.91
+42.9%
23.1%US$22.00US$11.00US$11.9811
Apr ’24US$10.59
US$16.18
+52.8%
21.1%US$22.00US$12.00US$14.0011
Mar ’24US$12.26
US$17.60
+43.6%
24.9%US$26.00US$12.00US$12.9010
Feb ’24US$16.67
US$19.64
+17.8%
23.4%US$26.00US$11.00US$13.0511
Jan ’24US$13.49
US$19.73
+46.2%
23.3%US$26.00US$11.00US$14.1011
Dec ’23US$17.16
US$19.70
+14.8%
24.5%US$26.00US$11.00US$11.0510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Warby Parker Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Janine Hoffman StichterBTIG
Ana GarciaCFRA Equity Research