Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) Shares Find Their Feet

NYSE:VIPS
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Vipshop Holdings Limited's (NYSE:VIPS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Vipshop Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Vipshop Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:VIPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Vipshop Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Vipshop Holdings' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Vipshop Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 55% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 87% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.0% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 13%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Vipshop Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Vipshop Holdings' P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Vipshop Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Vipshop Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vipshop Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vipshop Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.