We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Tilly's Valuation

Is TLYS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TLYS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TLYS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.4x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TLYS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TLYS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
CTRN Citi Trends
4.4x-84.0%US$272.1m
JILL J.Jill
6.5x4.6%US$288.8m
CURV Torrid Holdings
12.6x37.6%US$394.9m
DXLG Destination XL Group
4.9x-9.7%US$446.7m
TLYS Tilly's
12.2x16.7%US$266.8m


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TLYS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TLYS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TLYS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TLYS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TLYS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TLYS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.03
US$10.75
+19.0%
2.3%US$11.00US$10.50n/a2
Jan ’24US$9.05
US$10.75
+18.8%
2.3%US$11.00US$10.50n/a2
Dec ’23US$8.87
US$9.50
+7.1%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Nov ’23US$9.06
US$9.50
+4.9%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Oct ’23US$6.92
US$9.50
+37.3%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Sep ’23US$7.33
US$10.67
+45.5%
8.8%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Aug ’23US$7.82
US$11.33
+44.9%
8.3%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Jul ’23US$7.12
US$11.33
+59.2%
8.3%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Jun ’23US$8.25
US$14.67
+77.8%
8.5%US$16.00US$13.00n/a3
May ’23US$8.82
US$14.67
+66.3%
8.5%US$16.00US$13.00n/a3
Apr ’23US$9.12
US$14.67
+60.8%
8.5%US$16.00US$13.00n/a3
Mar ’23US$12.25
US$20.00
+63.3%
7.1%US$21.00US$18.00n/a3
Feb ’23US$13.28
US$20.00
+50.6%
7.1%US$21.00US$18.00US$8.993
Jan ’23US$16.11
US$24.50
+52.1%
2.0%US$25.00US$24.00US$9.052
Dec ’22US$14.24
US$22.00
+54.5%
9.1%US$24.00US$20.00US$8.872
Nov ’22US$14.50
US$22.00
+51.7%
9.1%US$24.00US$20.00US$9.062
Oct ’22US$14.42
US$20.67
+43.3%
12.1%US$24.00US$18.00US$6.923
Sep ’22US$15.80
US$19.67
+24.5%
6.3%US$21.00US$18.00US$7.333
Aug ’22US$14.83
US$19.33
+30.4%
8.8%US$21.00US$17.00US$7.823
Jul ’22US$16.25
US$19.33
+19.0%
8.8%US$21.00US$17.00US$7.123
Jun ’22US$14.23
US$15.00
+5.4%
5.4%US$16.00US$14.00US$8.253
May ’22US$12.06
US$14.33
+18.9%
8.7%US$16.00US$13.00US$8.823
Apr ’22US$11.23
US$14.33
+27.6%
8.7%US$16.00US$13.00US$9.123
Mar ’22US$10.70
US$12.00
+12.1%
6.8%US$13.00US$11.00US$12.253
Feb ’22US$9.86
US$12.00
+21.7%
5.9%US$13.00US$11.00US$13.284


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