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Tilly's

NYSE:TLYS
Snowflake Description

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
TLYS
NYSE
$350M
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Retail
Company description

Tilly’s, Inc. retails casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. The last earnings update was 70 days ago. More info.


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  • Tilly's has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
TLYS Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
-6.7%
NYSE:TLYS
2.6%
US Specialty Retail
1.2%
US Market
1 Year Returns
-12.3%
NYSE:TLYS
11.4%
US Specialty Retail
0.9%
US Market
TLYS Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Tilly's (TLYS) -6.7% -1.6% -20.8% -12.3% 66.6% 3.9%
US Specialty Retail 2.6% 4.7% -1.8% 11.4% 30.7% 42.8%
US Market 1.2% 6.6% 1.2% 0.9% 44.3% 41.3%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • TLYS underperformed the Specialty Retail industry which returned 11.4% over the past year.
  • TLYS underperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 0.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
TLYS
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market
Related Companies

Value

 Is Tilly's undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Tilly's to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Tilly's.

NYSE:TLYS Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 5 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 9.1%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NYSE:TLYS
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 7.3%
Specialty Retail Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.87
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.87 (1 + (1- 21%) (0%))
0.87
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
0.87
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (0.87 * 7.27%)
9.05%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NYSE:TLYS using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Tilly's is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NYSE:TLYS DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) 28.25 23.45 25.63 26.62 27.66
Source Analyst x1 Analyst x1 Analyst x1 Est @ 3.9% Est @ 3.9%
Present Value
Discounted (@ 9.05%)
25.90 19.72 19.76 18.82 17.93
Present value of next 5 years cash flows $102.14
NYSE:TLYS DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2023 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $27.66 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (9.05% – 2.73%)
$449.43
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)5
= $449.43 ÷ (1 + 9.05%)5
$291.39
NYSE:TLYS Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 5 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $102.14 + $291.39
$393.53
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $393.53 / 29.48
$13.35
NYSE:TLYS Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $13.35
Current discount Discount to share price of $11.86
= -1 x ($11.86 - $13.35) / $13.35
11.2%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Tilly's is available for.
Intrinsic value
11%
Share price is $11.86 vs Future cash flow value of $13.35
Current Discount Checks
For Tilly's to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Tilly's's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a moderate discount (< 20%).
  • Tilly's's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Tilly's's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Tilly's's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-11-03) in USD $0.79
NYSE:TLYS Share Price ** NYSE (2019-02-15) in USD $11.86
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 65 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 16.32x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,045 Publicly-Listed Companies 16.97x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Tilly's.

NYSE:TLYS PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:TLYS Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 11.86 ÷ 0.79

15.06x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Tilly's is good value based on earnings compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average.
  • Tilly's is good value based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Tilly's's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 15.06x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 5 Analysts
12%per year
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 59 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 1.78x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,115 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.36x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

NYSE:TLYS PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 15.06x ÷ 12%

1.26x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Tilly's is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Tilly's's assets?
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-11-03) in USD $6.22
NYSE:TLYS Share Price * NYSE (2019-02-15) in USD $11.86
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 100 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 1.49x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,122 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.82x
NYSE:TLYS PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:TLYS Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 11.86 ÷ 6.22

1.91x

* Primary Listing of Tilly's.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Tilly's is overvalued based on assets compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Tilly's's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Specialty Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Specialty Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Tilly's has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Tilly's expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 5 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
12%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Tilly's expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Tilly's's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Tilly's's earnings growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
  • Tilly's's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NYSE:TLYS Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 5 Analysts 12%
NYSE:TLYS Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 5 Analysts 5.6%
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 10.9%
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 5.2%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.3%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 5 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NYSE:TLYS Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2021-01-31 668 48 31 3
2020-01-31 630 47 26 5
2019-01-31 597 42 25 5
NYSE:TLYS Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-11-03 592 34 23
2018-08-04 598 52 26
2018-05-05 580 38 16
2018-02-03 577 33 15
2017-10-28 573 47 14
2017-07-29 572 45 12
2017-04-29 570 51 14
2017-01-28 569 49 11
2016-10-29 568 50 8
2016-07-30 557 42 4
2016-04-30 551 32 4
2016-01-30 551 37 8

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Tilly's's earnings are expected to grow by 12% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • Tilly's's revenue is expected to grow by 5.6% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 5 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Tilly's Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:TLYS Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2021-01-31 1.02 1.09 0.94 2.00
2020-01-31 0.88 0.90 0.85 4.00
2019-01-31 0.79 0.80 0.78 3.00
NYSE:TLYS Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2018-11-03 0.79
2018-08-04 0.91
2018-05-05 0.56
2018-02-03 0.51
2017-10-28 0.50
2017-07-29 0.42
2017-04-29 0.49
2017-01-28 0.40
2016-10-29 0.28
2016-07-30 0.15
2016-04-30 0.12
2016-01-30 0.27

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Tilly's is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Tilly's's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Tilly's has a total score of 1/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Tilly's performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Tilly's's growth in the last year to its industry (Specialty Retail).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Tilly's's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
  • Tilly's's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (60.3% vs 2.8%)
  • Tilly's's earnings growth has exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry average in the past year (60.3% vs 20.8%).
Earnings and Revenue History
Tilly's's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Tilly's Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:TLYS Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-11-03 592.18 22.97 155.11
2018-08-04 598.18 26.37 153.77
2018-05-05 579.59 16.08 150.80
2018-02-03 576.90 14.70 150.54
2017-10-28 572.80 14.30 142.62
2017-07-29 572.08 11.97 143.89
2017-04-29 569.68 13.99 144.14
2017-01-28 568.95 11.41 146.78
2016-10-29 567.82 7.99 147.01
2016-07-30 557.41 4.39 148.05
2016-04-30 551.02 3.51 147.41
2016-01-30 550.99 7.54 146.56
2015-10-31 544.72 11.76 143.74
2015-08-01 534.31 14.06 137.81
2015-05-02 527.35 14.77 134.96
2015-01-31 518.29 14.08 131.34
2014-11-01 505.37 12.39 136.61
2014-08-02 497.87 13.42 132.34
2014-05-03 497.85 16.42 130.77
2014-02-01 495.84 18.14 119.25
2013-11-02 496.71 21.58 118.31
2013-08-03 497.83 23.73 118.51
2013-05-04 479.89 17.50 114.69
2013-02-02 467.29 18.78 116.98
2012-10-27 449.45 18.32 105.95
2012-07-28 431.86 17.40 101.56
2012-04-28 414.02 21.48 96.82

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Tilly's has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • Tilly's used its assets more efficiently than the US Specialty Retail industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Tilly's has improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Tilly's's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Specialty Retail industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Tilly's has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Tilly's's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Tilly's's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Tilly's is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Tilly's's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Tilly's's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Tilly's has no debt, it does not need to be covered by short term assets.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Tilly's Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago.

NYSE:TLYS Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-11-03 183.50 0.00 120.52
2018-08-04 175.35 0.00 124.23
2018-05-05 163.76 0.00 104.99
2018-02-03 160.43 0.00 135.95
2017-10-28 179.13 0.16 121.87
2017-07-29 169.62 0.39 109.63
2017-04-29 169.47 0.61 105.65
2017-01-28 189.22 0.84 133.92
2016-10-29 180.27 1.05 105.30
2016-07-30 173.27 1.27 96.39
2016-04-30 171.22 1.48 88.38
2016-01-30 173.21 1.69 100.95
2015-10-31 169.70 1.90 76.29
2015-08-01 165.92 2.10 76.72
2015-05-02 163.83 2.30 79.15
2015-01-31 158.69 2.50 84.75
2014-11-01 150.66 2.69 61.33
2014-08-02 144.71 2.89 57.37
2014-05-03 142.23 3.07 52.37
2014-02-01 140.92 3.26 60.36
2013-11-02 134.76 3.44 50.59
2013-08-03 125.97 3.62 50.82
2013-05-04 120.51 3.80 48.56
2013-02-02 117.30 3.97 57.18
2012-10-27 106.68 4.14 49.77
2012-07-28 96.21 4.31 47.66
2012-04-28 66.08 4.48 21.72
  • Tilly's has no debt.
  • Tilly's has no debt compared to 5 years ago when it was 2.5%.
  • Tilly's has no debt, it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.
  • Tilly's has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.
X
Financial health checks
We assess Tilly's's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Tilly's has a total score of 6/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Tilly's's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0%
Current annual income from Tilly's dividends. Estimated to be 0% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Tilly's shares you are expected to receive $0 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Unable to evaluate Tilly's's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to evaluate Tilly's's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NYSE:TLYS Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 5 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 39 Stocks 2%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 1998 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NYSE:TLYS Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2021-01-31
2020-01-31 0.00 1.00
2019-01-31 0.98 1.00

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as Tilly's has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to verify if Tilly's's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Tilly's's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as Tilly's has not reported any payouts.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of Tilly's's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United States of America.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Tilly's's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Tilly's afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Tilly's has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Tilly's's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Ed Thomas
COMPENSATION $1,355,020
AGE 64
TENURE AS CEO 3.3 years
CEO Bio

Mr. Edmond S. Thomas, also known as Ed, serves as President, Chief Executive Officer and Director of the Tilly's Inc. since October 2015. He served as the Chief Executive Officer of Wet Seal Inc. since September 8, 2014 until August 2015. Mr. Thomas served as Managing Partner of The Evans Thomas Company LLC. He served as a Partner of KarpReilly LLC from February 2011 to August 2014. He previously served as the Chief Executive Officer and President of Wet Seal Inc. from October 8, 2007 to January 18, 2011 and President and Chief Operating Officer and a Director of the Company from 1992 to 2000. He served as the President and Co-Chief Executive Officer of Tilly's Inc. from October 2005 to October 2007. Prior to Evans Thomas, Mr. Thomas served as the President and Chief Operating Officer of The Wet Seal Inc., a publicly held, leading junior apparel retailer from 1994 to 2000. He served as the President of Domain Inc., Foxmoor Specialty Stores and Child World Inc. He serves as a Director of Reichard Bros Enterprises Inc., XS Cargo Stores, The Habit Burger Grill, Directed Electronics Inc., Comark, Inc. and Swell Commerce Inc. He served as a Director of Wet Seal Inc. since September 8, 2014 until August 2015. Mr. Thomas served as a Director of Wet Seal Inc., from November 28, 2007 to October 8, 2010, DEI Holdings, Inc. from November 2005 to January 2009, Trans World Entertainment Corporation since December 3, 2003 and The Wet Seal from 1992 to 2000. He is a Certified Public Accountant. He served as an Independent Director of New York & Company Inc. from November 16, 2011 to September 2014. Mr. Thomas has a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting from Villanova University.

CEO Compensation
  • Ed's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
  • Ed's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Tilly's management team in years:

3.8
Average Tenure
61
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Tilly's management team is about average.
Management Team

Hezy Shaked

TITLE
Co-Founder
COMPENSATION
$448K
AGE
63

Ed Thomas

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
64
TENURE
3.3 yrs

Mike Henry

TITLE
Chief Financial Officer
COMPENSATION
$596K
AGE
47
TENURE
3.8 yrs

Debbie Anker-Morris

TITLE
Chief Merchandising Officer
COMPENSATION
$676K
AGE
59
TENURE
3.8 yrs

Jon Kubo

TITLE
Chief Digital Officer
COMPENSATION
$369K
AGE
60
TENURE
2.5 yrs

Christina Campbell

TITLE
VP & Controller
TENURE
3.9 yrs

Tilly Levine

TITLE
Vice President of Vendor Relations
AGE
62
TENURE
12.1 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Tilly's board of directors in years:

7.7
Average Tenure
63.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Tilly's board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Hezy Shaked

TITLE
Co-Founder
COMPENSATION
$448K
AGE
63
TENURE
35.1 yrs

Ed Thomas

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
64
TENURE
3.3 yrs

Seth Johnson

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$148K
AGE
64
TENURE
7.8 yrs

Janet Kerr

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$142K
AGE
63
TENURE
7.5 yrs

Bernard Zeichner

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$145K
AGE
74
TENURE
7.8 yrs

Doug Collier

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$21K
AGE
57
TENURE
7.4 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
11. Sep 18 Sell Hezy Shaked Individual 11. Sep 18 11. Sep 18 -520,611 $18.50 $-9,631,304
27. Jul 18 Sell Hezy Shaked Individual 26. Jul 18 27. Jul 18 -20,000 $15.63 $-308,733
X
Management checks
We assess Tilly's's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Tilly's has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Calculating The Fair Value Of Tilly's, Inc. (NYSE:TLYS)

Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card! … by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Simply Wall St -

What Investors Should Know About Tilly's, Inc.'s (NYSE:TLYS) Financial Strength

(NYSE:TLYS), which sports a zero-debt capital structure, to include debt in its capital structure is the reduced cost of capital. … Is TLYS right in choosing financial flexibility over lower cost of capital … There are well-known benefits of including debt in capital structure, primarily a lower cost of capital.

Simply Wall St -

Tilly's, Inc. (NYSE:TLYS) Might Not Be A Great Investment

Specifically, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), since that will give us an insight into how efficiently the business can generate profits from the capital it requires. … What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)? … ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business.

Simply Wall St -

Is Tilly's, Inc. (NYSE:TLYS) Excessively Paying Its CEO?

This report will, first, examine the CEO compensation levels in comparison to CEO compensation at companies of similar size. … How Does Ed Thomas's Compensation Compare With Similar Sized Companies. … has a market capitalization of US$307m, and pays its CEO total annual compensation worth US$1.4m.

Simply Wall St -

Did Tilly's, Inc. (NYSE:TLYS) Use Debt To Deliver Its ROE Of 13%?

While some investors are already well versed in financial metrics (hat tip), this article is for those who would like to learn about Return On Equity (ROE) and why it is important. … Our data shows Tilly's has a return on equity of 13% for the last year. … Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders' Equity

Simply Wall St -

Have Insiders Been Selling Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS) Shares This Year?

So we'll take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS). … The Last 12 Months Of Insider Transactions At Tilly's. … In the last twelve months, the biggest single sale by an insider was when Co-Founder Hezy Shaked sold US$9.6m worth of shares at a price of US$18.50 per share.

Simply Wall St -

Does The Data Make Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS) An Attractive Investment?

Today I've chosen to put the spotlight on Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS) due to its excellent fundamentals in more than one area. … Below, I've touched on some key aspects you should know on a high level … If you're interested in understanding beyond my high-level commentary,

Simply Wall St -

Is Tilly's Inc's (NYSE:TLYS) P/E Ratio Really That Good?

The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). … How Do I Calculate A Price To Earnings Ratio … Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Simply Wall St -

Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS): The Return Story

and looking to gauge the potential return on investment in Tilly's Inc (NYSE:TLYS). … Your return is tied to TLYS’s ability to do this because the amount earned is used to invest in opportunities to grow the business or payout dividends, which are the two sources of return on investment. … Thus, to understand how your money can grow by investing in Tilly's, you need to look at what the company returns to owners for the use of their capital, which can be done in many ways but today we will use return on capital employed (ROCE)

Simply Wall St -

Should You Worry About Tilly's Inc's (NYSE:TLYS) CEO Salary Level?

Recognizing whether CEO incentives are aligned with shareholders is a crucial part of investing. … Incentives can be in the form of compensation, which should always be structured in a way that promotes value-creation to shareholders. … Thomas’s pay and compare this to the company’s performance over the same period, as well as measure it against other

Simply Wall St -

Company Info

Map
Description

Tilly’s, Inc. retails casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses; and accessories merchandise comprises backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. As of January 14, 2019, it operated 229 stores in 33 states. The company also sells its products through its e-commerce Website, tillys.com. Tilly’s, Inc.was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Details
Name: Tilly's, Inc.
TLYS
Exchange: NYSE
Founded: 1982
$349,636,441
29,480,307
Website: http://www.tillys.com
Address: Tilly's, Inc.
10 Whatney,
Irvine,
California, 92618,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE TLYS Class A Common Stock New York Stock Exchange US USD 04. May 2012
DB 4TL Class A Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 04. May 2012
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
3,050
Tilly's employees.
Industry
Apparel Retail
Retail
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/02/18 03:03
End of day share price update: 2019/02/15 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/01/29
Last earnings filing: 2018/12/10
Last earnings reported: 2018/11/03
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/02/03


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.