Stock Analysis

Does Group 1 Automotive (NYSE:GPI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:GPI
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Group 1 Automotive

How Much Debt Does Group 1 Automotive Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Group 1 Automotive had US$2.87b of debt, an increase on US$2.41b, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GPI Debt to Equity History April 6th 2023

How Strong Is Group 1 Automotive's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Group 1 Automotive had liabilities of US$1.92b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.56b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$48.0m and US$169.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.26b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$3.00b, we think shareholders really should watch Group 1 Automotive's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Group 1 Automotive's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 10.4 times, makes us even more comfortable. Also relevant is that Group 1 Automotive has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 22% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Group 1 Automotive can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Group 1 Automotive recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 94% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Group 1 Automotive's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its interest cover. But truth be told its level of total liabilities had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Group 1 Automotive's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Group 1 Automotive (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.