Stock Analysis

Genuine Parts Company's (NYSE:GPC) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

NYSE:GPC
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Genuine Parts' (NYSE:GPC) stock is up by a considerable 5.5% over the past week. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Genuine Parts' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Genuine Parts

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Genuine Parts is:

23% = US$1.1b ÷ US$4.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.23 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Genuine Parts' Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

First thing first, we like that Genuine Parts has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 11% which is quite remarkable. So, the substantial 25% net income growth seen by Genuine Parts over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Genuine Parts' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:GPC Past Earnings Growth February 17th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for GPC? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Genuine Parts Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The three-year median payout ratio for Genuine Parts is 43%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 57%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Genuine Parts is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, Genuine Parts has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 48%. As a result, Genuine Parts' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 25% for future ROE.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Genuine Parts' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.