Stock Analysis

Institutional investors are Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's US$46b market cap gain

NYSE:BABA
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Alibaba Group Holding's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 38% of the business is held by the top 25 shareholders
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

If you want to know who really controls Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 43% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And last week, institutional investors ended up benefitting the most after the company hit US$263b in market cap. The gains from last week would have further boosted the one-year return to shareholders which currently stand at 42%.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Alibaba Group Holding, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Alibaba Group Holding

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:BABA Ownership Breakdown October 3rd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Alibaba Group Holding?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that Alibaba Group Holding does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Alibaba Group Holding's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BABA Earnings and Revenue Growth October 3rd 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Alibaba Group Holding. Our data shows that SoftBank Group Corp. is the largest shareholder with 13% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 3.7% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 2.9% by the third-largest shareholder.

On studying our ownership data, we found that 25 of the top shareholders collectively own less than 50% of the share register, implying that no single individual has a majority interest.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Alibaba Group Holding

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can report that insiders do own shares in Alibaba Group Holding Limited. The insiders have a meaningful stake worth US$4.1b. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 41% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 13% of Alibaba Group Holding. It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Alibaba Group Holding , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:BABA

Alibaba Group Holding

Through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.