Stock Analysis

Allego N.V.'s (NYSE:ALLG) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

OTCPK:ALLG.F
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Allego N.V. (NYSE:ALLG) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 64% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Allego is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.8x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Specialty Retail industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Allego

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ALLG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 12th 2023

What Does Allego's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Allego as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Allego's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Allego's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 256% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 47% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.8% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Allego is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Allego's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Allego's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Allego's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Allego (2 are significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.