Ulta Beauty, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ULTA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$20.5b

Ulta Beauty Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ulta Beauty's earnings are forecast to decline at 0.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 3.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 41.5% in 3 years.

Key information

-0.7%

Earnings growth rate

3.7%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.0%
Revenue growth rate3.7%
Future return on equity41.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Ulta Beauty Looks Ready To Shine (Technical Analysis)

Dec 23

Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Dec 11
Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Trading At A 25% Discount?

Nov 27
Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Trading At A 25% Discount?

Ulta Beauty: What To Think Of Berkshire's Short Holding Period

Nov 25

Why We Like The Returns At Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA)

Nov 12
Why We Like The Returns At Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA)

I'm Finally Buying Ulta Beauty's Bold Transition Phase (Rating Upgrade)

Nov 12

Ulta Beauty: Investor Day Unveils Long-Term Value

Oct 21

Ulta Beauty: A Compelling Investment In An Expensive Market

Oct 11

Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Sep 27
Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Bottom Fishing Ulta Beauty With Buffett (Technical Analysis)

Sep 18

At US$372, Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 12
At US$372, Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Worth Looking At Closely?

The Fading Allure Of Ulta (Rating Downgrade)

Sep 06

Ulta Beauty's Ugly Day

Aug 30

Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 82% Above Its Share Price

Aug 28
Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 82% Above Its Share Price

Ulta Beauty: No Change In Fundamental Prospects Despite Berkshire Hathaway's Position

Aug 15

We Like Ulta Beauty's (NASDAQ:ULTA) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Jul 26
We Like Ulta Beauty's (NASDAQ:ULTA) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Ulta Beauty: Still Struggling To Capture Demand, Move Inventory

Jul 21

Ulta Beauty: Rising Inventories Are Another Major Red Flag

Jun 19

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Jun 06
We Think That There Are Some Issues For Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Ulta Beauty: Great Business, Greater Opportunity

May 28

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Low P/E

May 22
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Low P/E

Ulta Beauty: The Arrival In Mexico Came At The Best Time

May 20

Should You Investigate Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) At US$397?

May 05
Should You Investigate Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) At US$397?

Ulta Beauty: Unexpected International Plan And Underwhelming Guidance

Mar 18

Ulta Beauty Q4 Earnings Preview: Positive Outlook On Strong Holiday Season

Mar 10

Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital

Mar 05
Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital

Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Feb 19
Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULTA) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Ulta Beauty Isn't Beautiful Enough For Me Before Another Steep Plunge

Jan 31

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

Jan 17
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

At US$490, Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Jan 01
At US$490, Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:ULTA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/202712,2141,1211,0441,56019
1/31/202611,6051,0509291,43729
1/31/202511,2011,1229501,40929
11/2/202411,3621,2029961,420N/A
8/3/202411,3211,2109901,406N/A
5/4/202411,2991,2579141,331N/A
2/3/202411,2071,2911,0411,476N/A
10/28/202310,8801,2378471,267N/A
7/29/202310,7301,2629741,370N/A
4/29/202310,4971,2581,0101,361N/A
1/28/202310,2091,2421,1701,482N/A
10/29/20229,7111,1919501,218N/A
7/30/20229,3681,1329631,199N/A
4/30/20229,0381,0879471,156N/A
1/29/20228,6319868871,059N/A
10/30/20218,100868823966N/A
7/31/20217,6567271,0641,196N/A
5/1/20216,9174851,0201,165N/A
1/30/20216,152176658810N/A
10/31/20206,259227629803N/A
8/1/20206,390282446670N/A
5/2/20206,828435537805N/A
2/1/20207,3987068031,101N/A
11/2/20197,217698667971N/A
8/3/20197,0946996871,015N/A
5/4/20196,916686634951N/A
2/2/20196,717659637956N/A
11/3/20186,529652633992N/A
8/4/20186,312626N/A947N/A
5/5/20186,113591N/A881N/A
2/3/20185,885555N/A779N/A
10/28/20175,527487N/A640N/A
7/29/20175,317470N/A635N/A
4/29/20175,096446N/A643N/A
1/28/20174,855410N/A634N/A
10/29/20164,542377N/A550N/A
7/30/20164,322361N/A470N/A
4/30/20164,130345N/A475N/A
1/30/20163,924320N/A376N/A
10/31/20153,703299N/A399N/A
8/1/20153,538288N/A389N/A
5/2/20153,396274N/A391N/A
1/31/20153,241257N/A397N/A
11/1/20143,062241N/A374N/A
8/2/20142,935227N/A376N/A
5/3/20142,802211N/A359N/A
2/1/20142,671203N/A328N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ULTA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ULTA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ULTA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ULTA's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ULTA's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ULTA's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (41.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 21:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/11/02
Annual Earnings2024/02/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Deborah CiervoArgus Research Company
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research