Tractor Supply Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Tractor Supply has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 3.8%, while the Specialty Retail industry saw earnings declining at 2.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 5.3% per year. Tractor Supply's return on equity is 43%, and it has net margins of 6.9%.
Key information
3.85%
Earnings growth rate
5.74%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail Industry Growth | 26.64% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.27% |
| Return on equity | 43.01% |
| Net Margin | 6.91% |
| Last Earnings Update | 28 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
TSCO: Dividend And Buyback Commitment Will Support Future Share Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Tractor Supply to reflect a fair value of $47.52, down from $56.37, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Tractor Supply reaffirmed earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with net sales growth targeted at 4% to 6%, comparable store sales at 1% to 3%, an operating margin rate of 9.3% to 9.6%, net income of US$1.11b to US$1.17b, and earnings per diluted share of US$2.13 to US$2.23 (Company guidance).Tractor Supply: Unclear Future Ahead
Apr 26Tractor Supply Company Just Missed EPS By 9.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Apr 23
TSCO: Dividend Growth And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Price
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Tractor Supply by about $1.22 to reflect slightly adjusted fair value, a marginally higher discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News The board approves an increase in the annual dividend to $0.96 per share for 2026, up $0.04 year over year.TSCO: Store Expansion And Rising Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Price
Analysts have kept their price target for Tractor Supply steady at about $58. This reflects largely unchanged assumptions around long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, with only minor tweaks to discount rate inputs.TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Tractor Supply to reflect small changes in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This has resulted in a slightly updated fair value estimate that remains around $58 per share.TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Shareholder Upside
Analysts have modestly revised their price target on Tractor Supply, citing small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Together, these changes translate into a slightly different implied valuation from the prior $57.59 fair value estimate.TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Support Steady Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Tractor Supply to reflect a slightly lower discount rate, a stable fair value estimate of about $57.59, and small tweaks to assumed profit margin and future P/E. This signals an updated view of the stock's risk and earnings profile without a major shift in valuation.TSCO: Store Expansion And Guidance Will Offset Legal And Margin Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their Tractor Supply price target by about $4 per share, as they now apply slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Repurchased 2,200,000 shares from September 28, 2025 to December 27, 2025, representing 0.42% of shares for $117.5m.TSCO: New Store Expansion And Outdoor Offerings Will Support Future Upside
Analysts reduced their implied fair value estimate for Tractor Supply from about US$63.15 to US$61.22. They cited slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, a small change in forecast profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models.Is Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Worth US$49.8 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Jan 06TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Offerings And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made a small trim to their Tractor Supply fair value estimate to $63.15 from $63.44, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, long term profit margin and future P/E while keeping revenue growth expectations effectively unchanged. What's in the News Cree LED filed a patent infringement lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois against Promier Products and Tractor Supply related to certain portable lighting products, citing multiple U.S. patents covering portable lighting designs and performance (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Product Lineup Will Drive Future Earnings Upside
Narrative Update on Tractor Supply Analyst Price Target Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tractor Supply slightly lower from approximately $63.74 to $63.44 per share, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate that more than offsets unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Cree LED filed a patent infringement lawsuit against Tractor Supply and Promier Products in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, alleging unauthorized use of multiple Cree LED portable lighting patents in certain products sold by Tractor Supply (Key Developments).TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Offerings Will Drive Future Earnings Upside
Narrative Update on Tractor Supply Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Tractor Supply modestly, from approximately 63.52 dollars to 63.74 dollars per share. They cite slightly higher expected profit margins and a marginally richer future earnings multiple, which more than offset a small trim to projected revenue growth and a higher discount rate.TSCO: Expanding Outdoor Offerings And Rising Margins Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their price target for Tractor Supply at $63.52, with only marginal adjustments to key assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, and future profit margin. This reflects continued confidence in the company's outlook.TSCO: Improved Profit Margins And Expanding Product Lines Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update on Tractor Supply: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Tractor Supply, increasing the estimated fair value from $63.30 to $63.52. This change is attributed to marginal improvements in profit margin and future price-to-earnings expectations.Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Oct 28Share Repurchases And New Partnerships Will Drive Resilience And Earnings Momentum
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Tractor Supply to $63.30 from $62.59. This adjustment is based on minor improvements in projected profit margins and fair value estimates.Is Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) A Risky Investment?
Sep 29Tractor Supply's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Jun 19Is Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Using Too Much Debt?
May 29We Think The Compensation For Tractor Supply Company's (NASDAQ:TSCO) CEO Looks About Right
May 09Tractor Supply: Dividends From The Countryside
Jan 31Reversing My View On Tractor Supply: I'm Buying (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 16Rural Riches - Why Tractor Supply Is A Dividend Stock Worth Owning
Dec 07Tractor Supply Company: Cautious Heading Into Q4
Nov 17Tractor Supply: Loyalty Program Improves Customer Engagement
Sep 15Tractor Supply: More Than A 'Discretionary Goods' Retailer
Aug 14Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Tractor Supply makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 26 | 15,649 | 1,081 | 3,748 | 0 |
| 27 Dec 25 | 15,524 | 1,096 | 3,693 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 25 | 15,399 | 1,105 | 3,640 | 0 |
| 28 Jun 25 | 15,148 | 1,087 | 3,570 | 0 |
| 29 Mar 25 | 14,955 | 1,082 | 3,515 | 0 |
| 28 Dec 24 | 14,883 | 1,101 | 3,482 | 0 |
| 28 Sep 24 | 14,770 | 1,113 | 3,446 | 0 |
| 29 Jun 24 | 14,713 | 1,126 | 3,413 | 0 |
| 30 Mar 24 | 14,651 | 1,122 | 3,381 | 0 |
| 30 Dec 23 | 14,556 | 1,107 | 3,356 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 14,902 | 1,130 | 3,410 | 0 |
| 01 Jul 23 | 14,761 | 1,109 | 3,363 | 0 |
| 01 Apr 23 | 14,480 | 1,085 | 3,288 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 14,205 | 1,089 | 3,194 | 0 |
| 24 Sep 22 | 13,518 | 1,039 | 3,037 | 0 |
| 25 Jun 22 | 13,265 | 1,029 | 2,983 | 0 |
| 26 Mar 22 | 12,963 | 1,003 | 2,942 | 0 |
| 25 Dec 21 | 12,731 | 997 | 2,900 | 0 |
| 25 Sep 21 | 12,290 | 912 | 2,792 | 0 |
| 26 Jun 21 | 11,879 | 878 | 2,632 | 0 |
| 27 Mar 21 | 11,454 | 847 | 2,552 | 0 |
| 26 Dec 20 | 10,620 | 749 | 2,473 | 0 |
| 26 Sep 20 | 9,934 | 757 | 2,212 | 0 |
| 27 Jun 20 | 9,311 | 689 | 2,136 | 0 |
| 28 Mar 20 | 8,489 | 569 | 1,964 | 0 |
| 28 Dec 19 | 8,352 | 562 | 1,933 | 0 |
| 28 Sep 19 | 8,293 | 555 | 1,925 | 0 |
| 29 Jun 19 | 8,191 | 550 | 1,895 | 0 |
| 30 Mar 19 | 8,050 | 538 | 1,863 | 0 |
| 29 Dec 18 | 7,911 | 532 | 1,823 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 18 | 7,731 | 505 | 1,772 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 7,571 | 480 | 1,730 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 7,375 | 434 | 1,684 | 0 |
| 30 Dec 17 | 7,256 | 423 | 1,640 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 7,220 | 436 | 1,610 | 0 |
| 01 Jul 17 | 7,041 | 434 | 1,557 | 0 |
| 01 Apr 17 | 6,876 | 430 | 1,518 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 6,780 | 437 | 1,488 | 0 |
| 24 Sep 16 | 6,510 | 425 | 1,431 | 0 |
| 25 Jun 16 | 6,443 | 423 | 1,416 | 0 |
| 26 Mar 16 | 6,363 | 420 | 1,400 | 0 |
| 26 Dec 15 | 6,227 | 410 | 1,369 | 0 |
| 26 Sep 15 | 6,164 | 411 | 1,346 | 0 |
| 27 Jun 15 | 6,048 | 400 | 1,316 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TSCO has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TSCO's current net profit margins (6.9%) are lower than last year (7.2%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TSCO's earnings have grown by 3.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TSCO's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TSCO had negative earnings growth (-0.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Specialty Retail industry average (-1.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TSCO's Return on Equity (43%) is considered outstanding.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 22:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/27 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tractor Supply Company is covered by 49 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Deborah Ciervo | Argus Research Company |
| Peter Benedict | Baird |
| Helen Pan | Barclays |