NasdaqGM:OLLI

Stock Analysis Report

NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Header cover image

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Executive Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

Share Price & News

How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: OLLI's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-2.3%

OLLI

0.7%

US Multiline Retail

-1.5%

US Market


1 Year Return

39.9%

OLLI

15.1%

US Multiline Retail

12.9%

US Market

Return vs Industry: OLLI exceeded the US Multiline Retail industry which returned 15.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: OLLI exceeded the US Market which returned 12.9% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

OLLIIndustryMarket
7 Day-2.3%0.7%-1.5%
30 Day-21.4%-2.3%-1.8%
90 Day-12.3%12.1%6.6%
1 Year39.9%39.9%17.0%15.1%15.4%12.9%
3 Year92.6%92.6%89.5%78.2%39.6%30.2%
5 Year420.8%420.8%82.0%59.8%93.4%71.7%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

25.99x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: OLLI ($85.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OLLI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (26x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (22.5x).

PE vs Market: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (26x) compared to the US market (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: OLLI is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (3.1x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?

-9.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: OLLI's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: OLLI's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.8%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings performed over the past 5 years?

30.9%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: OLLI has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: OLLI's current net profit margins (12.9%) are higher than last year (10.4%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: OLLI's earnings have grown significantly by 30.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: OLLI's earnings growth over the past year (51.5%) exceeds its 5-year average (30.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: OLLI earnings growth over the past year (51.5%) exceeded the Multiline Retail industry 43.6%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity (17.2%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets ($657.3M) exceed its short term liabilities ($241.6M).

Long Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets ($657.3M) exceed its long term liabilities ($382.8M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: OLLI is debt free.

Reducing Debt: OLLI has no debt compared to 5 years ago when its debt to equity ratio was 41.8%.

Debt Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of OLLI's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.5yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

John Swygert (51 yo)

0.75

Tenure

US$3,969,008

Compensation

Mr. John W. Swygert Jr. has been President and Chief Executive Officer of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. since December 10, 2019 and its Director since December 10, 2019. He served as Interim Presid ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD3.97M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD7.39M).

Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Swygert
President0.75yrUS$3.97m0.038%
$ 2.2m
Jay Stasz
Senior VP & CFO2.67yrsUS$869.36k0.023%
$ 1.3m
Robert Bertram
VP & General Counsel6.42yrsUS$505.41k0.044%
$ 2.5m
Kevin McLain
Senior VP of Merchandising & General Merchandise Manager6.33yrsUS$709.08k0.0056%
$ 315.5k
Dan Haines
Vice President of Marketing & Advertisingno datano datano data
Tom Kuypers
Senior Vice President of Marketing & Advertisingno datano datano data
Kelly Costanza
Senior Vice President of Human Resourcesno datano datano data

4.5yrs

Average Tenure

52.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: OLLI's management team is considered experienced (4.5 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Swygert
President0.75yrUS$3.97m0.038%
$ 2.2m
Thomas Hendrickson
Independent Director5.5yrsUS$172.50k0.0053%
$ 299.8k
Richard Zannino
Independent Director8yrsUS$167.50k0%
$ 0
Robert Fisch
Independent Director5yrsUS$160.00k0.021%
$ 1.2m
Stanley Fleishman
Independent Director7.5yrsUS$162.50k0.069%
$ 3.9m
Stephen White
Independent Director4.17yrsUS$162.50k0.011%
$ 615.9k
Alissa Ahlman
Independent Director0.33yrno datano data

5.0yrs

Average Tenure

65yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: OLLI's board of directors are considered experienced (5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 2.8%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
  • Ticker: OLLI
  • Exchange: NasdaqGM
  • Founded: 1982
  • Industry: General Merchandise Stores
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$5.614b
  • Shares outstanding: 65.38m
  • Website: https://www.ollies.us

Number of Employees


Location

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
  • 6295 Allentown Boulevard
  • Suite 1
  • Harrisburg
  • Pennsylvania
  • 17112
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
OLLINasdaqGM (Nasdaq Global Market)YesCommon StockUSUSDJul 2015
OL6DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJul 2015

Biography

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers food products, housewares, books and stationery, bed and bath products, health and beauty products ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/09/22 06:15
End of Day Share Price2020/09/21 00:00
Earnings2020/08/01
Annual Earnings2020/02/01


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.