Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
Market Cap
US$5.5b
Last Updated
2021/03/06 00:41 UTC
Data Sources
Company Financials +
Executive Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. More Details
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 8.6% per year for the next 3 years
Snowflake Analysis
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.
Share Price & News
How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: OLLI is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.
Volatility Over Time: OLLI's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
Market Performance
7 Day Return
2.5%
OLLI
-3.3%
US Multiline Retail
-0.4%
US Market
1 Year Return
72.5%
OLLI
42.4%
US Multiline Retail
36.3%
US Market
Return vs Industry: OLLI exceeded the US Multiline Retail industry which returned 41.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: OLLI exceeded the US Market which returned 31.2% over the past year.
Shareholder returns
| OLLI | Industry | Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Day | 2.5% | -3.3% | -0.4% |
| 30 Day | -7.5% | -5.4% | -1.3% |
| 90 Day | 5.0% | -2.8% | 4.9% |
| 1 Year | 72.5%72.5% | 44.3%42.4% | 39.2%36.3% |
| 3 Year | 42.1%42.1% | 79.2%68.9% | 48.7%39.2% |
| 5 Year | 295.4%295.4% | 86.2%65.7% | 117.0%92.8% |
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
2 weeks ago | Simply Wall St
Does This Valuation Of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLLI) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?1 month ago | Simply Wall St
Should You Investigate Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLLI) At US$91.64?Valuation
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
23.81x
Price to Earnings (PE) ratio
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: OLLI ($82.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($74.46)
Significantly Below Fair Value: OLLI is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (23.1x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (17.9x).
PE vs Market: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (23.1x) compared to the US market (21x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: OLLI is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (4.2x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (2.6x).
Next Steps
Future Growth
How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 13 analysts?
-8.6%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.6% per year).
Earnings vs Market: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: OLLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: OLLI's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: OLLI's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.8%).
Next Steps
Past Performance
How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings performed over the past 5 years?
30.5%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: OLLI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: OLLI's current net profit margins (13.3%) are higher than last year (10.2%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: OLLI's earnings have grown significantly by 30.5% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: OLLI's earnings growth over the past year (62.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (30.5% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: OLLI earnings growth over the past year (62.3%) underperformed the Multiline Retail industry 62.3%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity (18%) is considered low.
Next Steps
Financial Health
How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets ($732.5M) exceed its short term liabilities ($276.2M).
Long Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets ($732.5M) exceed its long term liabilities ($388.2M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: OLLI is debt free.
Reducing Debt: OLLI has no debt compared to 5 years ago when its debt to equity ratio was 42.4%.
Debt Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.
Interest Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.
Balance Sheet
Next Steps
Dividend
What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividend payments have been increasing.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of OLLI's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
5.0yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
John Swygert (51 yo)
1.25yrs
Tenure
US$3,969,008
Compensation
Mr. John W. Swygert Jr. has been President and Chief Executive Officer of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. since December 10, 2019 and its Director since December 10, 2019. He served as Interim Presid...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD3.97M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD6.40M).
Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Leadership Team
| Name | Position | Tenure | Compensation | Ownership |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 1.25yrs | US$3.97m | 0.038% $ 2.1m | |
| Senior VP & CFO | 3.17yrs | US$869.36k | 0.023% $ 1.3m | |
| VP & General Counsel | 6.92yrs | US$505.41k | 0.044% $ 2.4m | |
| Senior VP of Merchandising & General Merchandise Manager | 6.83yrs | US$709.08k | 0.0056% $ 311.7k | |
| Vice President of Marketing & Advertising | no data | no data | no data | |
| Senior Vice President of Marketing & Advertising | no data | no data | no data | |
| Senior Vice President of Human Resources | no data | no data | no data |
5.0yrs
Average Tenure
52.5yo
Average Age
Experienced Management: OLLI's management team is seasoned and experienced (5 years average tenure).
Board Members
| Name | Position | Tenure | Compensation | Ownership |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 1.25yrs | US$3.97m | 0.038% $ 2.1m | |
| Independent Director | 6yrs | US$172.50k | 0.0053% $ 295.6k | |
| Independent Director | 8.5yrs | US$167.50k | 0% $ 0 | |
| Independent Director | 5.5yrs | US$160.00k | 0.021% $ 1.1m | |
| Independent Director | 8yrs | US$162.50k | 0.069% $ 3.8m | |
| Independent Director | 4.67yrs | US$162.50k | 0.011% $ 608.3k | |
| Independent Director | 0.83yr | no data | no data |
5.5yrs
Average Tenure
65yo
Average Age
Experienced Board: OLLI's board of directors are considered experienced (5.5 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 2.8%.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
- Ticker: OLLI
- Exchange: NasdaqGM
- Founded: 1982
- Industry: General Merchandise Stores
- Sector: Retail
- Market Cap: US$5.546b
- Shares outstanding: 65.42m
- Website: https://www.ollies.us
Number of Employees
Location
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
- 6295 Allentown Boulevard
- Suite 1
- Harrisburg
- Pennsylvania
- 17112
- United States
Listings
| Ticker | Exchange | Primary Security | Security Type | Country | Currency | Listed on |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLLI | NasdaqGM (Nasdaq Global Market) | Yes | Common Stock | US | USD | Jul 2015 |
| OL6 | DB (Deutsche Boerse AG) | Yes | Common Stock | DE | EUR | Jul 2015 |
Biography
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers food products, housewares, books and stationery, bed and bath products, health and beauty products...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2021/03/06 00:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2021/03/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2020/10/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/02/01 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.