Stock Analysis

Citi Trends (NASDAQ:CTRN) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

NasdaqGS:CTRN
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Citi Trends (NASDAQ:CTRN) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Citi Trends, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.043 = US$16m ÷ (US$547m - US$164m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2022).

Therefore, Citi Trends has an ROCE of 4.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 17%.

See our latest analysis for Citi Trends

roce
NasdaqGS:CTRN Return on Capital Employed January 8th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Citi Trends compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Citi Trends.

What Can We Tell From Citi Trends' ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Citi Trends, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 4.3%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Citi Trends' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 21% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Citi Trends (including 2 which make us uncomfortable) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:CTRN

Citi Trends

Operates as a value retailer of fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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