Tritax Big Box REIT plc

OTCPK:TTBX.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.4b

Tritax Big Box REIT Valuation

Is TTBX.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TTBX.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TTBX.F ($1.81) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TTBX.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TTBX.F?

Key metric: As TTBX.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TTBX.F. This is calculated by dividing TTBX.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TTBX.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUK£156.40m
Market CapUK£3.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TTBX.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TTBX.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
STAG STAG Industrial
37.8x1.3%US$6.9b
IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties
19.4x2.3%US$3.1b
TRNO Terreno Realty
37x9.9%US$6.1b
FR First Industrial Realty Trust
23.2x-6.1%US$7.4b
TTBX.F Tritax Big Box REIT
22x25.4%US$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TTBX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TTBX.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TTBX.F 22.0xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TTBX.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TTBX.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TTBX.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TTBX.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TTBX.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$2.35
0%
8.7%US$2.66US$1.91n/a11
Nov ’25US$1.81
US$2.43
+34.4%
9.4%US$2.73US$1.96n/a11
Oct ’25US$2.13
US$2.45
+15.1%
8.9%US$2.75US$1.98n/a11
Sep ’25n/a
US$2.34
0%
8.5%US$2.68US$1.92n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$2.34
0%
8.5%US$2.68US$1.92n/a11
Jul ’25US$1.56
US$2.35
+50.5%
8.5%US$2.69US$1.93n/a11
Jun ’25US$2.05
US$2.34
+14.2%
8.9%US$2.68US$1.93n/a10
May ’25US$1.74
US$2.24
+28.7%
9.2%US$2.62US$1.88n/a9
Apr ’25n/a
US$2.21
0%
10.5%US$2.65US$1.90n/a9
Mar ’25US$1.49
US$2.19
+47.0%
11.3%US$2.66US$1.90n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.24
0%
9.4%US$2.67US$1.97n/a12
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.16
0%
7.7%US$2.48US$1.97n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
US$2.09
0%
7.8%US$2.35US$1.78n/a12
Nov ’24US$1.73
US$2.05
+18.5%
9.7%US$2.49US$1.70US$1.8114
Oct ’24US$1.73
US$2.07
+20.2%
9.9%US$2.50US$1.71US$2.1313
Sep ’24US$1.79
US$2.16
+20.7%
10.9%US$2.72US$1.77n/a13
Aug ’24n/a
US$2.15
0%
10.3%US$2.65US$1.81n/a13
Jul ’24US$1.89
US$2.09
+10.8%
10.2%US$2.56US$1.75US$1.5612
Jun ’24n/a
US$2.14
0%
10.8%US$2.55US$1.74US$2.0511
May ’24n/a
US$2.13
0%
10.4%US$2.55US$1.74US$1.7412
Apr ’24n/a
US$2.13
0%
9.6%US$2.53US$1.85n/a12
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.05
0%
9.8%US$2.41US$1.81US$1.4913
Feb ’24n/a
US$2.12
0%
12.5%US$2.66US$1.70n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
US$2.19
0%
19.3%US$3.16US$1.65n/a13
Dec ’23US$1.99
US$2.11
+5.9%
18.9%US$3.01US$1.58n/a13
Nov ’23US$1.65
US$2.07
+25.4%
18.7%US$2.92US$1.53US$1.7313

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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